Two Interesting Relievers With New Homes
Amidst the flurry of deals that have gone down over the past week (and those that will continue throughout the Winter Meetings), I'd like to focus on two that brought versatile relief pitchers to new leagues. On Saturday, the Brewers traded Carlos Villanueva to the Blue Jays for a player to be named; earlier in the week, on Thursday, the Angels signed former Met Hisanori Takahashi to a two year, $8 million contract.
Although Villanueva was strictly a reliever in 2010, he made 27 starts in addition to consistent relief work for the Brewers from 2006-2009. Takahashi, an MLB rookie in 2010, filled pretty much every role over the course of the year. He was an innings-eating middle reliever at the beginning of the season before being moved in the rotation in May. He returned to the bullpen in August and took over as the Mets' closer in September. I've chosen to examine both Villanueva and Takahashi in this post because they have quite a few similarities beyond the fact that they both switched leagues this week.
While it appears that both pitchers are going to be spending the majority of their time in their respective bullpens next year, they both have significant experience as starters and don't profile as "typical relievers" based on their stuff and pitch selection. I'll look at Villanueva first, then Takahashi.
I detected four pitches from Villanueva - a straight four-seam fastball, a straight change that gets a few different looks to it (maybe another type of changeup in there as well?), a slider, and a curveball. (Note that there may be a few two-seam fastballs lumped with the four-seamers.) The graphs (click to enlarge) shows the spin deflection from the catcher's perspective for each pitch, and the charts show some results for each pitch.
| # | Pitch% | Swing Rate | Whiff Rate | Zone Rate | Chase Rate | Watch Rate | RV/100 | xRV/100 | |
| FF | 270 | .292 | .244 | .152 | .404 | .118 | .569 | 2.26 | 1.19 |
| CH | 249 | .269 | .510 | .323 | .446 | .362 | .306 | -0.15 | -0.23 |
| SL | 216 | .234 | .588 | .441 | .375 | .467 | .210 | -2.92 | -2.29 |
| CU | 181 | .196 | .331 | .267 | .436 | .225 | .532 | -2.36 | 0.06 |
| 921 | .413 | .324 | .416 | .288 | .413 | -0.44 | -0.16 |
| GB Rate | FB Rate | LD Rate | PU Rate | |
| FF | .167 | .333 | .433 | .067 |
| CH | .442 | .209 | .302 | .047 |
| SL | .306 | .472 | .167 | .056 |
| CU | .542 | .167 | .208 | .083 |
| .361 | .301 | .278 | .060 |

| vs LHB | First | Ahead | Behind | Full |
| FF | .341 | .205 | .319 | .115 |
| CH | .236 | .186 | .526 | .308 |
| SL | .000 | .327 | .009 | .423 |
| CU | .319 | .268 | .121 | .471 |
| vs RHB | First | Ahead | Behind | Full |
| FF | .411 | .253 | .276 | .115 |
| CH | .124 | .142 | .483 | .346 |
| SL | .174 | .416 | .147 | .500 |
| CU | .294 | .189 | .095 | .038 |
I was surprised by the ridiculous amount of changeups in hitter counts, both to lefties and to righties. He's definitely in the "crafty" category and could best be described as a pitcher with unusual patterns. Let's move on to Takahashi.

| # | Pitch% | Swing Rate | Whiff Rate | Zone Rate | Chase Rate | Watch Rate | RV/100 | xRV/100 | |
| FF | 761 | .370 | .406 | .136 | .472 | .226 | .393 | 0.20 | -0.51 |
| FT | 222 | .108 | .414 | .174 | .527 | .200 | .393 | 0.65 | 0.89 |
| CH | 673 | .327 | .578 | .393 | .312 | .492 | .233 | -1.72 | -1.24 |
| SL | 239 | .111 | .437 | .280 | .410 | .311 | .383 | -1.60 | -0.14 |
| CU | 134 | .065 | .321 | .233 | .366 | .259 | .571 | 0.40 | 0.07 |
| FC | 17 | .008 | .824 | .214 | .353 | .727 | .000 | 19.39 | 4.65 |
| 2037 | .465 | .266 | .410 | .343 | .360 | -0.34 | -0.40 |
| GB Rate | FB Rate | LD Rate | PU Rate | |
| FF | .370 | .303 | .218 | .109 |
| FT | .356 | .311 | .289 | .044 |
| CH | .458 | .282 | .168 | .092 |
| SL | .333 | .333 | .182 | .152 |
| CU | .313 | .375 | .250 | .063 |
| FC | .167 | .500 | .333 | .000 |
| .391 | .306 | .209 | .094 |
The curveball is slow and he'll sometimes drop it into the low 60s. The cutter was only used a handful of times, so disregard the rate stats for it; also, the four-seam/two-seam split is shady. Like Villanueva, Takahashi didn't throw a whole lot of fastballs last year. The change looks like a really good pitch, and Takahashi used it with great frequency. Like Villanueva, Tak has a reputation as a pitcher without patterns; let's look at the count-based data (encompassing Takhashi's entire season, both as a starter and as a reliever):

vs LHB
First
Ahead
Behind
Full
FF
.290
.379
.564
.471
FT
.217
.074
.111
.147
CH
.098
.132
.009
.118
SL
.201
.358
.299
.265
CU
.304
.058
.017
.000
FC
.000
.000
.000
.000
| vs RHB | First | Ahead | Behind | Full |
| FF | .262 | .317 | .342 | .374 |
| FT | .335 | .074 | .144 | .131 |
| CH | .190 | .460 | .400 | .486 |
| SL | .292 | .048 | .033 | .009 |
| CU | .423 | .077 | .031 | .000 |
| FC | .059 | .022 | .003 | .000 |
So, I guess my takeaway would be that neither of these guys throw very hard, they don't appear to have very effective fastballs, and they have to rely a lot on their offspeed stuff to succeed. Though they'll be pitching in relief in 2011, they both have starters' repertoires and probably would be able to easily slot into their team's rotation if needed.
The data in this post are courtesy of Joe Lefkowitz's tool.
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For more on takahashi see:
http://www.amazinavenue.com/2010/5/28/1491834/a-pitchfx-look-at-hisanori
and
http://www.amazinavenue.com/2010/8/13/1620779/a-starter-or-a-reliever-a-second
NOTE: I didn’t split up his fastball as I didn’t think he had a distinct second fastball. He could have one, it just isn’t very different from the four-seam fastball. Also, I didn’t find a cutter, but well I didn’t check his full year.
Yeah, the FF/FT distinction is definitely up for debate.
There are a few cutters sprinkled in his appearances throughout the season. Looks like he last used it (5 times) on July 17th.
by Lucas Apostoleris on Dec 7, 2010 2:05 PM EST up reply actions
Lucas and I talked about this very briefly while he was working on the article
He does throw both a four-seamer and a two-seamer. Look at his July 4 appearance, for example.
A grip photo for the four-seam fastball:
http://ed.photoshelter.com/image/I0000xh4.70pYDU0
And a couple for the two-seam fastball:
http://ed.photoshelter.com/image/I00006DHuyE_hznc
http://ed.photoshelter.com/image/I0000imj5eypod_s
And a look at his spin deflection chart for that game:

MLBAM only picked up on one type of fastball, but you can see two distinct clumps there, to the left and right of pfx_x = 9 inches or so.
Winner, Beyond the Box Score 32 Predictions Contest, 2009
by Mike Fast on Dec 7, 2010 2:55 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs

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