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A Pitch F/X Look at Cliff Lee

Great fanpost from yankee82093 here. Adding to the front page and adding a jump for presentation purposes. -ed.

Lee has a tremendous variety of movement in his pitches. He has three pitches that tail away from righties (fourseam, twoseam, changeup) and a nasty curveball with a ton of movement. For most pitchers this would be plenty; but Cliff Lee is not like most pitchers. He also packs a cutter with as much horizontal movement as some sliders.

We can see this with the following graph, which is from the catcher’s perspective (same with all following graphs):

CLeepitchmovementandlocation

CU=curveball, FC=cutter, FF=fourseam, FT=twoseam, CH=changeup. The black box represents the strikezone and has the average pitch locations for each pitch.

Looking at a pitcher’s entire repertoire like this is useful, but it can be more interesting to look at pitches individually when it comes to pitchers like Lee:

Star-divide

FFdensRHw_strikezone

FFdensLH_w_strikezone

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Against righties his location is pretty varied with the fourseam. He mainly locates the pitch middle-away, but often goes up and in too. Against lefties, he consistently pounds the outer half.

Pitch Type Count Selection% Swing% Swing-Miss% HR% GB% LD% FB%
vs·RHB
FF 352 13.8 50.9 12.3 0.9 28.9 25.0 46.1
vs LHB
FF     305 36.4 47.2 13.2 0.7 45.6 12.3 42.1

FTdensRHw_strikezoneFTdensLHw_strikezone

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Against righties he primarily throws the twoseam pitch up and away, which explains why he has a high flyball rate on a pitch typically associated with groundballs. Against lefties the pitch is pretty much thrown low and over the middle of the plate.

Pitch Type Count Selection% Swing% Swing-Miss% HR% GB% LD% FB%
vs·RHB
FT 1174 46.2 48.2 14.5 0.5 31.0 21.0 48.1
vs·LHB
FT     241 28.8 46.1 11.7 0.0 59.6 27.7 12.8

FCdensRHw_strike

FCdensLHw_strike

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Against righties the pitch is a real weapon; the cutter results in many whiffs and a solid amount of groundballs. Against lefties the pitch isn’t as remarkable, but still solid. His location against lefties with the cutter is very similar to his location with his fourseamer against lefties.

Pitch Type Count Selection% Swing% Swing-Miss% HR% GB% LD% FB%
vs·RHB
FC 510 20.1 54.9 20.4 0.6 47.0 23.0 30.0
vs·LHB
FC    185 22.1 49.7 17.4 1.1 41.9 18.6 39.5

CUdensRHw_strike

CUdensLHw_strike

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

His location against righties and lefties is pretty much the same, though he does backdoor the pitch occasionally to righties. He pretty much only throws his curve late in counts for strikeouts.

Pitch Type Count Selection% Swing% Swing-Miss% HR% GB% LD% FB%
vs·RHB
CU 170 6.7 44.1 37.3 0.0 76.0 12.0 12.0
vs·LHB
CU    49   5.8 36.7 38.9 0.0 20.0 20.0 60.0

CLeedensCH

Pitch Type Count Selection% Swing% Swing-Miss% HR% GB% LD% FB%
CH 293 11.5 58.7 29.7 0.3 42.5 17.5 40.0

Only one graph here because he only threw 20 changeups to lefties the entire year, so I’m just going to ignore those. According to Fangraphs pitch run values, his changeup was his most effective pitch this year. And you can see why; he was great and locating the pitch down and away.

Well I hope this helps to show why Cliff Lee is the recent recipient of a lot of cash. He has a tremendous stable of pitches, all of which he throws with pinpoint command.

*all data and tables are from Joe Lefkowitz’ site.

*This article was originally posted on www.pendingpinstripes.net

Comment 5 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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Awesome stuff.

One minor comment would be that in addition to the five pitches you profiled, Lee also has a slider that’s only a bit harder than his curve but gets much less movement. He only threw a handful of them all year, though. Overall, really good job.

by Lucas Apostoleris on Dec 16, 2010 1:55 PM EST reply actions  

Yea, I saw the slider in the data, but I think he had only thrown something like 25 of them all year. I think two of them were misclassified cutters, and a few others were misclassified curveballs. I wasn’t really sure what to do about the pitch.

by yankee82093 on Dec 16, 2010 3:45 PM EST reply actions  

He throws them only against lefties

Making htem clearly identifiable. I think i had 40 last year.

by garik16 on Dec 18, 2010 2:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Really good breakdown.

Well done. These heat maps are spreading like fire.

My Michigan State (and Big Ten) Baseball Blog.

Like music? See what I'm listening to at my Last.fm account.

by Mike Rogers on Dec 17, 2010 5:55 PM EST reply actions  

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