FanShot

At the outset, my simulator projected the chances of both Texas and San Francisco winning their...

Projection

At the outset, my simulator projected the chances of both Texas and San Francisco winning their league pennants at 4.5%. Vegas set similar odds. Historically, the odds of two teams with Texas' and San Fran's respective third-order winning percentages advancing to the World Series are even longer: 2.8%. Yet, here we are: one two-seed, one three-seed, and the two lowest WP3 teams representing their leagues in the Fall Classic.

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