FanPost

5x5 OBP League Hitter Rankings

The following list is designed to rank players for 2011 based on past performance, position scarcity, age, future development, consistency, and Marcel, CHONE, and ZiPS projections from previous years.  I used counting and sabermetric stats provided by the great folks at FanGraphs.

 

  1. Albert Pujols - The best hitter in the world.  No one compares to him.  120/45/125/15, .435
  2. Hanley Ramirez - The most valuable player thanks to position scarcity.  110/30/100/40, .400
  3. Miguel Cabrera - Only Pujols is more consistent.  110/35/120/0, .395
  4. Chase Utley - He has a couple years left of elite status. He's further removed from his knee and thumb injuries. 105/26/115/15, .400
  5. Joey Votto - 100/30/100/15, .410
  6. Ryan Braun - With a conscious effort to hit on top of the ball in 2010 he watched his HRs drop below 30 for the first time in his career.  Expect a more power-conscious approach in 2011 with Fielder most likely headed out of town.  110/35/110/20, .375
  7. Troy Tulowitzki - 100/30/100/12, .375
  8. Carl Crawford - Where he ends up will impact only his power stroke.  Even Scioscia will give CC the green light.  100/15/80/50, .360
  9. Robinson Cano - Fully expect him to repeat his 2010 season. 100/30/110/5, .380
  10. Carlos Gonzalez Expect a dip in performance. He can't keep slugging .737 at home.  100/25/100/30, .350
  11. Evan Longoria - 110/35/110/15, .375
  12. Alex Rodriguez - A lock for 30 HR and 100 RBI, no longer a stolen base threat and had a 25% decline in BB. 85/35/120/5, .390
  13. David Wright - With a healthy supporting cast expect 100/30/110/25, .390.
  14. Shin-Soo Choo - Underappreciated the past two seasons.  With Santana healthy for a full season hitting behind him you're looking at a 90/20/100/20, .400 season.
  15. Ryan Zimmerman - Expect him to perform between his 2009 and 2010 seasons. 95/30/100/5, .370
  16. Adrian Gonzalez - 90/40/100/0, .400
  17. Prince Fielder - Where he ends up will have a minimal impact on his production. 90/40/90/0, .395
  18. Mark Teixeira - 100/30/100/0, .380
  19. Matt Holliday 100/25/100/10, .395
  20. Justin Upton - Shoulder problems are slowing his potential at this point.  A 90/35/110/25, .375 season is on the horizon.
  21. Josh Hamilton - With a clean bill of health he's looking at 100/35/120/10, .380.  Scale that back to about 130 games.
  22. Matt Kemp - What a disappointing year.  Look for him to bounce back.  He's on record stating a 40/40 2011 is his goal.  95/35/95/25, .345
  23. Jason Heyward - Baby steps with the man-child.  A healthy season can produce a 90/25/100/15, .400.  His 55% ground ball rate needs to decrease.
  24. BJ Upton - Only 26 years old, 2011 could finally be his breakout year.  95/22/80/50, .360 is attainable only from the top of the order in Tampa.
  25. Dan Uggla - He has no business being drafted later than the fourth round. 90/30/90/3, .355
  26. Jayson Werth - 95/30/95/15, .380
  27. Dustin Pedroia - 110/15/70/15, .370
  28. Jose Bautista - Looks like a lock for 85/30/100/5 with 85+ BB
  29. Joe Mauer - 2009 was an aberration.  Look for a repeat of 2010 with a little more pop. 90/15/90/5, .415
  30. Kevin Youkilis - 100/30/100/0, .400
  31. Andrew McCutchen - Keeps steadily improving.  Being on a team that loses so often must get frustrating.  95/20/65/35, .365
  32. Adam Dunn - Depending on where he goes limits his value.  He wants to play the field but he is a liability even at first base.  Going from multiple position eligibility to DH duties will hurt his game and his value. 80/40/100/0, .385
  33. Brett Gardner - He deserves to be at the top of the order.  110/5/40/55, .375
  34. Shane Victorino - He will not repeat his career year in 2010.  90/12/65/25, .345
  35. Nelson Cruz - If he can only stay healthy.  90/30/100/25, .360
  36. Rickie Weeks - 90/25/80/10, .360
  37. Juan Pierre - 95/0/40/60, .340
  38. Chris Young - 85/25/80/20, .330
  39. Mike Stanton - A 6'4'' freak of nature with a bodybuilder physique who works tirelessly on the game of baseball.  Expect 80/30/90/5, .335, don't be surprised to see 40 HR in 2011.
  40. Alex Rios - 85/20/85/25, .325
  41. Hunter Pence - 90/25/90/20, .330
  42. Michael Bourn 90/0/40/55, .345
  43. Nick Swisher - 90/30/90/0, .375
  44. Ryan Howard - It's quite possible he has hit his decline phase.  95/35/115/0, .345
  45. Bobby Abreu - Extremely consistent and a lock for 80/20/80/20, .370
  46. Drew Stubbs - He stole 56 bases in 2009 between AAA and the MLB. Dusty should let him loose a little more next year.  85/18/70/35, .330
  47. Adrian Beltre - Don't overpay for this guy.  80/25/90/5, .350
  48. Kendry Morales - 85/30/90/0, .350
  49. Mark Reynolds - He strikes out.  He hits homeruns.  He walks.  85/35/85/15, .340
  50. Andre Ethier - His hot start to the season was ruined by injury.  He should be back to his 2009 form.  90/30/90/5, .365
  51. Jose Reyes - 100/10/55/50, .350
  52. Ian Kinsler - Overrated because of his injury risk.  80/20/75/15, .365
  53. Colby Rasmus - He can hit lefties.  He should not be in a platoon. 600AB 90/25/80/15, .355
  54. Justin Morneau - His power puts him in the third tier of 1B.  90/25/100/0, .360
  55. Derek Jeter - The last time people wrote him off due to age he made them regret it.  He's still a top four SS. 110/15/60/20, .370
  56. Brian McCann - 65/25/90/5, .365
  57. Carlos Santana - A Ryan Kalish slide ruined his extremely promising rookie campaign.  Walking more than he strikes out, Santana displayed patience and power while missing Choo from the line up most days.  Expect a top three fantasy catcher performance in a full year's work, potential to have Mauer's OBP with Napoli's slugging. 80/18/80/5, .385
  58. David Ortiz - Don't give up on Papi just yet.  75/28/90/0, .365
  59. Carlos Pena - He'll hit above the Mendoza line next year, wherever he ends up.  70/30/90/0, .360
  60. Jay Bruce - 80/28/80/4, .330
  61. Delmon Young - This could be the year Delmon breaks out in the power department.  Needs to walk more to reach the top 30. 80/25/90/10, .330
  62. Brandon Phillips - 85/20/70/20, .320
  63. Austin Jackson - Let's hope he avoids the sophomore slump.  90/5/40/30, .330
  64. Michael Young - 90/18/80/6, .345
  65. Victor Martinez - 70/20/80/0, .360
  66. Brian Roberts - Second basemen age notoriously poorly.  His back issues are very concerning.  This may be the last year Roberts is rosterable. 65/8/45/25, .350
  67. Buster Posey - 80/20/85/2, .350
  68. Elvis Andrus - 80/3/40/35, .345
  69. Ben Zobrist - Zorilla's true talent lies between his 2010 and 2009 campaigns.  80/15/80/15, .370
  70. Billy Butler - 80/20/85/0, .380
  71. Geovany Soto - Potential to be an elite catcher given 130 starts.  55/25/70/0, .370
  72. Jimmy Rollins - This aging SS can't seem to keep his hamstrings healthy.  80/16/60/27, .320
  73. Ryan Raburn - With second base eligibility, Raburn has shown elite power, hitting 31HR in 632 ABs. 80/20/80/5, .350
  74. Jason Bay - David Wright turned the power around, can Jason do the same? 80/15/80/10, .370
  75. Adam Lind - 80/30/80/5, .360
  76. Corey Hart - 85/20/80/5, .340
  77. Vladimir Guerrero - 80/24/85/0, .360
  78. Aaron Hill - The proud owner of the lowest BABIP in past 100 years from a full time player.  He should regress back to the norm.  Consider him the poor man's Dan Uggla.  85/26/80/5, .310
  79. Kelly Johnson - 85/20/60/10, .365
  80. Curtis Granderson - 80/25/80/15, .335
  81. Paul Konerko - The power is not for real.  80/20/80/0, .340
  82. Ichiro Suzuki - Look for a batting title and steals, nothing more.  You can get similar stats from Bourn and Davis, only seven rounds later. 90/5/50/35, .350
  83. Torii Hunter - 80/25/90/15, .340
  84. Josh Willingham - 75/20/70/10, .375
  85. Vernon Wells
  86. Starlin Castro - Exceptional contact hitter.  No power.  Average speed.  Thin position. 70/5/40/18, .340
  87. Denard Span - 85/6/60/30, .375
  88. Will Venable - Doesn't get enough love.  Low OBP but helps in every other category. 75/20/70/20, .320
  89. Rafael Furcal - 75/10/60/20, .350
  90. Mike Napoli - Playing for anyone but Mike Scioscia will help his production. LAA: 50/20/50/2, .340.  Elsewhere/1B: 75/30/75/5, .340
  91. Carlos Quentin - 80/35/80/3, .345
  92. Pablo Sandoval - 75/15/80/3, .355
  93. Gordon Beckham - 80/15/80/5, .340
  94. Logan Morrison - A couple years away from having 20 HR power.  He is, however, an on-base machine.  90/10/60/3, .385
  95. Aubrey Huff - 80/20/80/5, .350
  96. Angel Pagan - 80/10/60/30, .340
  97. Stephen Drew - 80/15/60/10, .350
  98. Nick Markakis - I'm about to give up on him hitting for any real power.  90/13/75/5, .370
  99. Rajai Davis - A very cheap source of runs and steals.  85/5/40/50, .340
  100. Adam Jones - Having the third worst walk rate in all of baseball limits his value. 75/20/75/10, .320
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