An Atlanta Braves fan posted over at Brew Crew ball inquiring about Prince Fielder coming to the Braves for Jair Jurrjens. At first, though I like JJ, I did not think that it would be a fair trade for the Brewers. I initally thought that JJ would be a nice, key piece of a deal involving Fielder, but threw out Freddie Freeman and Tommy Hanson as well.
After a sleepless night (not because of the thought of this trade, but of a one month old child), I re-examind this idea and found some very interesting things:
Using Sky's TVC, Fielder comes up with a $28 million value approximately, using 5 and 5 WARs plus a half here and there. while Jurrjens, using 3 to 3.5 WAR for 4 years winds up at about $40 million! in value.
With the Brewers pitching less season and Fielder having an MVP type year while on a team that is currently 6 games under .500, lots of talk and discussion has been made of a possible Prince Fielder deal in the offseason to rebuild the team. The Brewers do not have any impact pitching in the pipeline right now, and there is not expected to be a lot of high quality pitching available in Free Agency this year, not that the Brewers could afford it even if they wanted to.
So, this having been said, and the numbers listed above for Jurrjens and Fielder, is the middle of the rotation type of starting pitcher worth more than one of the premier power hitters in the game? What will the Brewers expect in return, what could they expect, and will they be happy when all is said and done?
My thought is that the problem with the Brewers getting fair value for Fielder is that his money is going to be the problem in that situation. He is due abour $11 million next year, and could break the bank somewhere near what Ryan Howard did in his last year of arbitration.
I personally think there are only about 5 or 6 teams out there that might be willing to take a flyer on Fielder in his last two arb years (Red Sox, Tigers, Orioles, White Sox, Angels, Mariners, Braves, Dodgers, Giants) and only about half of those teams would have what it takes in young or prospect talent to make it worth the Brewers while.
What do you think? What would it take to land Fielder, and improve and satisfy the Milwaukee Brewers? (The counter offer, after researching, that I made to the Braves fan was Fielder for Freddie Freeman, Cole Rohrbough, Randall Delgado, and Kris Medlin).