Introducing DiamondView Composite Player Evaluation
The last great goal of 20th Century science which continues to this day has been the pursuit of a unified theory of everything that somehow ties quantum mechanics in with particle physics. At least that's my Discovery Channel version. Regardless, I'm not sure how the great minds of our time are coming along on that.
It is much the same for those that pursue the great art of baseball math, Sabermetrics. Infinitely more humble, no doubt, but the relentless pursuit for a unified stat remains there all the same. One magical number that JoeFan can look at and say, "Yes, Tony Pena Jr. is the 278th best player in the Major Leagues that qualifies for a batting title."
Well, this is not that. Rather than attempt a unified stat, which many have tried, I was inspired the other day by Tommy Bennett (BtB Contributor) to come up with and design a visual way of looking at the big picture for batters. I think we might have something here.
(more)
Development
The first step was to determine what represents the overall view of a batter. Fairly simple, just from a 5-tools perspective. Hitting, Power, Base-Running (skills and speed), Throwing, and Fielding.
The second step was to determine which stats we have that best reflect those tenets of baseball lore. On Base Percentage (OBP) makes sense for hitting, of course, as does Isolated Slugging (ISO) for power. For base-running, we can use EqBRR, which is currently the best measure. For fielding and throwing, we'll use Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR/150). All told, we lowered it down to four stats but will have to deal with some wonky stuff for catchers and DHs and what not.
Processing
For charting purposes, Walter and I determined the best course of action was to adjust each chosen stat to a percentage of the current best player in that stat. The best score in that particular stat would result in a 100%, and everybody below would rank accordingly. Each player should have his 4 stats adjusted to a percentage of the current stat leader.
Now, some problems arise from this method, which are currently being sorted out. The first is that certain stats are dominated so thoroughly by a single person, like Pujols and ISO, that his 100% puts the next-best person at 85%. The best solution for this is to set the percentages to a bell curve to properly represent the spread of talent in the MLB.
An additional issue with this current method is exactly where to set the zero. One player, Adam Dunn, is such a bad fielder that our initial calculation netted a -27%! This looks hilarious in graph form, but may not be very useful.
The Fun Part
All that being said, with an acknowledgement for opportunity to improve the results for a more representative output, I present to you the DiamondView Composite Player Evaluation. It's a visual representation of the current best 4 stats we have for batters. For presentation purposes, we chose batters at or near the top of particular stats to show exactly how effective this view is for quickly determining a player's strength's and weaknesses. It's really quite amazing when you see it coming together.
In that vein, I wanted OBP Power Guy, low-avg power guy, slappy-hitter/stolen base guy, and the high-defense utility fielder guy. Our current results are a first run, so feel free to help us through the growing pains with suggestions. Take a look:
Bobby Abreu is a classic On-Base guy that can't really hit for power and may be a liability in the field.
What can be said about the Donkey, Adam Dunn, that hasn't already been said? This shows you exactly what he is.
This is probably my favorite one. Carlos Pena, when he hits it, hits it HARD.


There is something to be said for Defense and smart base running (and Michael Bourn's lights out speed).

Ahem. Albert, you're messing up my graphs.


Ben Zobrist's several positions played at a high quality gave us this wonky result.
Let us know what you think.
**It's here that I should note how important Walter Fulbright has been to this and every article that I write here. What little ability I have for making charts is comparatively worthless for the toddler-in-the-ocean I am with Sabermetrics. I try, but simply cannot do it alone. If you have a chance, please acknowledge where you can that it is only with his statistical analysis that most of this is possible. Thank you, Walter.
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97 comments
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Comments
So cool
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by devil_fingers on Sep 16, 2009 11:28 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I really, really like this.
I think something like this, which needs very little explanation to be digested by the end-user, is an excellent direction for sabermetrics.
by jwiscarson on Sep 16, 2009 11:46 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thinking about the numbers...
Would it be possible to get a version of these graphs using rank among all players, rather than a percentage? Or, are those numbers just really obtuse?
I say this because, although the graph itself is very easy to digest, I wonder if the numbers wouldn’t confuse some people (i.e., “Rajai Davis’s power is 23% of what?”). I take these graphs (particularly with Pujols’s inclusion — or are they separated by league?) to mean that his power is 23% of Pujols’s, but that’s kind of a moving target.
Granted, we’re probably looking at fractional numbers like 57/750, so my idea may not have a whole lot of merit either.
by jwiscarson on Sep 16, 2009 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To your first comment, I think that THAT is absolutely the best use for this.
An easily digestible visual into a player’s sabermetric “shape.”
Also, thank you!
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You could do position adjustments
By adding the replacement level for the position into the fielding quadrant. That way the the magnitude of the area would be comparable across positions.
by Tommy Bennett on Sep 16, 2009 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, definitely a fan of including position adjustments.
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by Sky Kalkman on Sep 16, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
?
Just use the standard position adjustments on the season fielding data.
+1.25 C, +0.75 SS, +0.25 CF/2B/3B, -0.75 LF/RF, -1.25 1B, -1.75 DH
Those are wins, so multiply by 10 for runs…
-j
My blog: Basement-Dwellers.com
Also: Beyond the Boxscore
Twittering: @jinazreds
by JinAZ on Sep 16, 2009 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And pro-rate.
Either down to the playing time for the playing in question. (Unless of course, you’re currently pro-rating fielding up to 150 games using UZR/150.)
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by Sky Kalkman on Sep 16, 2009 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hid my original comment
When I realized it was redundant and in response to the wrong comment. I guess the hiddenness pollutes downstream automatically.
by Tommy Bennett on Sep 17, 2009 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Unhidden
Sigh
I guess I just wasn’t cut out for these big, complex threads.
by Tommy Bennett on Sep 17, 2009 12:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry you're now a BtB alum, though. ;)
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by Sky Kalkman on Sep 16, 2009 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I didn't want to say "soon to be former writer for..." :(
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Awesome. Just a quick question, this doesn’t have any sort of positional adjustments, right?
by Missing Barry on Sep 16, 2009 12:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
This was my immediate thought
I like the concept, but I think you definitely should include position adjustments on the fielding numbers if you are not already. An average-fielding 1B is a much worse fielder than an average-fielding SS or CF and that should be reflected in your graphs.
Offensive numbers should be position-independent.
So…any chance you’ll share a tool to make these once you nail down the methods? That’s the best way to get this style to take off.
-j
My blog: Basement-Dwellers.com
Also: Beyond the Boxscore
Twittering: @jinazreds
by JinAZ on Sep 16, 2009 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think making a tool for this is the logical next step.
Like you said, I think nailing down the method first is vital before attempting to sell it.
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cool
I’d enjoy showing these when doing player profiles. They are a really nice way to get a quick, visual breakdown of a player.
-j
My blog: Basement-Dwellers.com
Also: Beyond the Boxscore
Twittering: @jinazreds
by JinAZ on Sep 16, 2009 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, big fan of positional adjustments.
A small tweak on an awesome idea.
JBopp – already patented this, huh?
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by Sky Kalkman on Sep 16, 2009 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
:)
Patent Pending doesn’t look as good on a beautiful graph!
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No positional adjustments yet.
But excellent point and this should probably be incorporated.
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Love the concept with some tweaks
I like the idea here and think this could be a great visual tool for comparing players and even determining dominant player types that have similar graph shapes. There are two improvements that would make this even better, however:
1. The area shaded in each color is what the eye interprets, not the “peak” of that shaded area. By connecting each peak to the adjacent peaks, we alter the area that is shaded based on separate information. For example, visually Dunn’s On-Base appears to be much smaller than Zobrist’s, even though it is actually higher (79% versus 70%). The difference in fielding, which has nothing to do with OBP, is causing us to visually conclude Dunn is worse than Zobrist at OBP. A graphic where area is relative to that stat only would allow for more effective interpretation.
2. Not as important as #1, but I think that maybe the four categories should be sized relative to one another based on importance to winning (I’ll let others debate on how to do that). For example, if OBP is more important to winning than Base Running, then the graph should be dominated more by OBP than Base Running. Then we can more easily see whether the categories a player is good in are more or less important to winning.
by Joelestra on Sep 16, 2009 12:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I thought about your first point also.
I was wondering if there was a way to move related or complementary skills next to each other so that you get a better visual that isn’t quite as bad as the unreated data affecting the skill’s area. It might taking adding a fifth stat to it. Not sure what that is though.
by LoneStranger on Sep 16, 2009 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right
This graph type implies that the total area of the shape is the quantity to we should be looking at. Rather, the important part is the sum of the total distance from the 4 outer points to the center point.
Continuing with the example, Dunn’s poor fielding does not make his on-base ability worse but it does affect his total score negatively.
by TheBigStapler on Sep 16, 2009 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
imagine a player that had 100% on base, 100% baserunning, 0% fielding, and 0% power. That player’s diamond would be a straight line with no area.
by TheBigStapler on Sep 16, 2009 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That would be hilarious.
A DH that walks in every at-bat and immediately steals second every time.
by jwiscarson on Sep 16, 2009 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
As I scrolled down and looked at the graphs, I began to wonder what Rajai Davis' would look like.
And there he is!
This stuff is gold. Not only does it give us a quick way to compare players, it makes it easier for the non-baseball folk to begin to understand the differences in what makes each player valuable (or not) to the team.
by LoneStranger on Sep 16, 2009 12:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Love it, but two requests.
Can you make on of Adam Dunn and no deflect his power the -27%?. Just keep it a straight line. Wondered what that one would look like.
The other problem would be that the area shaded is not the % they are at. Look at Billy Butler’s OBP of 49%, but only ~25% of his area is colored. Can you redo his where the point is at .7 (square root of .5). If you put it at that point about half of that triangle would be filled in. Email me if you have any questions.
Jeff Zimmerman - Protecting the world from RBI's and Wins from my mom's guest house.
by Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal) on Sep 16, 2009 12:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I like this way
Of approximating the area. It would be good.
by Tommy Bennett on Sep 16, 2009 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep.
We will be refiguring the zero mark to prevent this. This was one of the first things we noticed in the initial run of the data. “Hey that’s not right!”
“LOL look at Dunn. That’s my Donkey!”
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Awesome
I’d love to see what a circa-1993 Barry Bonds or Willie Mays graph would look like.
Boxing is like jazz. The better it is, the less people appreciate it.
-George Foreman
by jsims2 on Sep 16, 2009 12:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Historical comparisons are a ways off,
but definitely the ultimate goal.
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Very Nice
I’d like to see the percentile look instead of percent of leader as you mentioned. That should solve your negative value problem too.
by stevesommer05 on Sep 16, 2009 12:14 PM EDT reply actions 4 recs
+1
Jeff Zimmerman - Protecting the world from RBI's and Wins from my mom's guest house.
by Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal) on Sep 16, 2009 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was just about to say this.
A percentile would solve many of the problems of looking at the distribution.
Also: are these comparisons done using the entire league? Everyone in the league at a particular position? The comparison set is a little unclear.
Let me write out a formal proof for you.
by Gray on Sep 16, 2009 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Today's great minds...
Are busy arguing about whether or not string theory (or one of its many variants) is the answer to the search for the unified theory of everything.
This is pretty cool though. I hope you guys include some of the feedback from the comments to make this even better.
by Marc Normandin on Sep 16, 2009 12:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ok, so imagine that the inside of a baseball is actually made up of a bunch of string
When Albert Pujols hits a ball, the vibrations of the string morph through various space/time states, creating 11 or more dimensions which give rise to mass, gravity, dark energy, and beer.
Albert Pujols does not have "down" years. He has "~6 WAR" years.
by mattybobo on Sep 16, 2009 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and in every one of those dimensions
Albert Pujols is awesome
by Marc Normandin on Sep 16, 2009 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
Not in Matt Wieters' dimension.
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by Sky Kalkman on Sep 16, 2009 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was actually thisclose to mentioning string theory, but I didn't want to lose my audience
in the first freaking paragraph. As is, they’re already scrolling past the development and going straight down to the pretty colors.
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There's something like this in Pokemon.
King of the bling come to lay down the evidence//Not George Bush, L-Millz be da president
by Sam Page on Sep 16, 2009 12:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
He's right. There is.
I’m actually kind of upset at myself for not realizing that first.
by Marc Normandin on Sep 16, 2009 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Zobrist-chu is evolving!
"Of course Kolby Rasmus was going deep! That’s what Kolby Rasmus does! You don’t give Kolby Rasmus second chances!" -Kolby Rasmus
by hazel on Sep 16, 2009 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There's little accident that many of our statistical careers began
by playing RPGs on Nintendo. If I could figure out how to throw in Hit Points and Magic Points, it’d already be there. :)
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
One of these days
I’m going to do a Daily Box Score entirely premised on Chrono Trigger.
by Tommy Bennett on Sep 16, 2009 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Can't wait. It has to be done now.
Way to pidgeonhole yourself Tommy.
by SFiercex4 on Sep 16, 2009 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Grinding in Dragon Warrior certainly prepared me well for cubicle life.
Proud father of Juan Carlos Perez. Think Albert Pujols at a position to be determined.
@#$% Juan Uribe. Dios es grande.
by marcello on Sep 16, 2009 9:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I always played the "how many steps can i go this time between Inn stays?" strategy.
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So what would happen if Albert Pujols junctioned 100 Pains to his attack?
"Of course Kolby Rasmus was going deep! That’s what Kolby Rasmus does! You don’t give Kolby Rasmus second chances!" -Kolby Rasmus
by hazel on Sep 17, 2009 1:26 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Albert is the only character whose limit break is the exact same thing as his normal attack
He’s that awesome.
Albert Pujols does not have "down" years. He has "~6 WAR" years.
by mattybobo on Sep 17, 2009 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
this tells me a Baseball RPG would be welcomed.
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 17, 2009 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually
Considering he plays for the Cards, I think Albert might actually BE Ruby Weapon.
by Tommy Bennett on Sep 17, 2009 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The only problem I have with this is that baserunning clearly doesn't have as big of an impact as power/on base.
Very interesting stuff with a lot of potential though, I like it.
---
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com
http://www.rightfieldbleachers.com \\ twitter
by Jack Moore on Sep 16, 2009 1:05 PM EDT reply actions 2 recs
I’d prefer to see the value expressed as actual run value instead of a % of the value. I think it would be great to see at a glance not only how their value is created, but also how much it is.
These are certainly great to see though, thanks for the work.
by chri5 on Sep 16, 2009 1:11 PM EDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
This is a really neat way of visualizing
But I agree with the posters above that some tweaks could probably make it even better.
Albert Pujols does not have "down" years. He has "~6 WAR" years.
by mattybobo on Sep 16, 2009 1:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ack. Accidentally posted.
For example, Dunn’s bad fielding is so bad that it cuts into his power quadrant. But does his bad fielding make his power worse? This could be a misinterpretation that could arise from displaying it that way. Maybe the center point of the graph should be some sort of barrier? The inclusion of the % numbers would help deal with the ambiguity. Also, how do the %‘s get below 0 and above 100? I don’t understand that quite yet, though I had to kind of skim through the explanations so maybe I just missed something.
Albert Pujols does not have "down" years. He has "~6 WAR" years.
by mattybobo on Sep 16, 2009 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is excellent stuff. Props to Justin and Walter for their work
And props to me for remembering this type of chart and getting all excited about it in Tommy’s DBS piece (though I claim no credit whatsoever).
I think using a distribution of all players for defense makes sense. That prevents the ridiculous negative percentiles (does it? I may not have read the explanation as carefully as I should have). Also, I would like to see fielding done with positional adjustments, so that we can glean even more information from it at a glance. Then again, I’m sure it would make people mad to see Pujols as below average since he’s playing at first base.
by SFiercex4 on Sep 16, 2009 1:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Sorry if this is dumb, but is it worth taking this one step further, and showing what % of the diamond a player’s qualities cover to measure his overall affectiveness? Does that make sense? If I were to eye-ball Pujols diamond, it looks like his skill set covers about 52-54% of the entire grid.
Again, sorry if that’s confusing….it’s hard to describe.
Fantastic idea, though.
by Dorn on Sep 16, 2009 1:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
One problem with this
is that the area of the diamond has little relation to his stats, since each of the quadrants goes out in a distance proportional to his relative strength in that stat. The area of the filled diamond isn’t directly informative, but the average reader probably assumes that it is—or should be.
Let me write out a formal proof for you.
by Gray on Sep 16, 2009 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
It has a small amount of relativity in that the more balanced a player is, the more area his diamond will have.
This has its value in itself, in my opinion.
by Daniel Berlyn on Sep 16, 2009 8:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
For fielding you could include positional adjustments in the number itself and compare everyone across the board?
You could zero out the lowest negative number to to have the scale make some sort of intuitive sense
by Graham on Sep 16, 2009 2:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Love the idea
and the end result. My only question is why Dunn has the only graph that doesn’t start at the center in all four quadrants? I don’t see how his poor defense counteracts his slugging and on base abilities — just because he can’t catch the ball doesn’t mean that impacts the way he hits it in the batter’s box.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Sep 16, 2009 2:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
It takes away from his overall value. I was a little confused because I thought they were solely judging offensive production because they kept saying “hitters”….but it looks like they’re trying to use the overall value for offensive players, defense included. I guess it makes sense then because Dunn’s overall value is less because he’s so defensively-challenged.
by Dorn on Sep 16, 2009 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
what stats would be used for the pitcher’s version?
by Dorn on Sep 16, 2009 2:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Maybe you could do...
runs above/below average per pitch type? Of course, not every pitcher throws four pitches, so that would be a bit complicated…
Alternatively, I guess you could always do the components of FIP: HR, BB, SO, and IP.
by jwiscarson on Sep 16, 2009 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pitching is up next.
If you guys can help normalize the data into a 100-point scale, that will help get the ball rolling.
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity!"
by Justin Bopp on Sep 16, 2009 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Out of curiosity...
Is 50% “average” on your scale (I assume so)?
I also realize this is a highly unlikely pipe dream, but is there any chance that these graphs could be generated on-the-fly and allow tooltips over the various sections? UZR for fielding, whatever metric you’re using for baserunning (I assume EqBRR?), etc.
by jwiscarson on Sep 16, 2009 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Batted ball/out types?
"Of course Kolby Rasmus was going deep! That’s what Kolby Rasmus does! You don’t give Kolby Rasmus second chances!" -Kolby Rasmus
by hazel on Sep 17, 2009 1:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wonder what (good) players would come closest to forming a perfect square.
Well rounded
by JonBBT on Sep 16, 2009 2:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Chase Utley
Is the first that comes to mind
by stevesommer05 on Sep 16, 2009 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Old Beltran was probably squar-ish
"Of course Kolby Rasmus was going deep! That’s what Kolby Rasmus does! You don’t give Kolby Rasmus second chances!" -Kolby Rasmus
by hazel on Sep 17, 2009 1:23 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Awesome stuff, guys!
And now at Beyond the Boxscore and Project Prospect!
by Mike Rogers on Sep 16, 2009 3:05 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
dimensions
The problem I’d see with this format, as is typical with spider web graphics, is that it treats all dimensions equally. This can be misleading, as you can see in the Pujols graphics where, because he doesn’t rank highly in baserunning, doesn’t come across as dominant as he should (dominance would intuitively be seen in the total area of a graph like this).
by studes on Sep 16, 2009 3:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
One way I can think to incorporate this
would be to make the total area proportional to something like total WAR, with the dimensions then shown as a way to divide up the stats for a particular player.
Let me write out a formal proof for you.
by Gray on Sep 16, 2009 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is the greatest thing Ive ever seen
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www.olympicsportsblog.wordpress.com
by fetch9 on Sep 16, 2009 5:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I love the concept
but not the specific execution used here. I too would like to see the categories based on a fixed value like WAR rather than the percentage of the league leader. I would also like to see the weight of each category better in the graphic. By both the surface are of the final graph and the way that the areas are filled in individually you would assume from a quick glance that Bourn is more valuable than Gutierrez, when Gutierrez has the slight advantage in WAR (4.8:4.6). If the total area of the final image was set to WAR and the quadrants properly weighted the graph would tell you nearly everything you typically want to know about a player in a quick glance.
One way this might work in this framework would be to set the diamond itself to the league leading WAR and assume a completely even distribution across each quadrant , then breakdown the individual categories as a percentage of the specific player’s WAR, which remains as the second, inner diamond. The negative WAR numbers would still cut into the graph like the Dunn diagram does now, but players who over produce in one area would surge over the borders there and fall inside them in their weaker areas. This would retain the format, and make the area a significant component (player’s WAR) juxtaposed to the highest WAR in the league while showing how the individual achieves their value.
Just a thought. I have no idea how that would be implemented. Still, I like this very much and hope for more work forthcoming.
by Slugger O'Toole on Sep 16, 2009 6:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Tweaks / Fixes
Catcher defense is probably the most confounding issue I’ve encountered to date (shocking, I know). When they translate into the database, they come across just as a blank … which, of course, Excel translates into a zero, which is actually pretty close to league average, since we’re using a metric that measures runs above and below that. Same for EqBRR.
A lot of the problems with fielding going off the chart (-27% for Dunn, 117% for Zobrist) is their inability to qualify at any one position for UZR/150. We wanted to use that particular metric to help downscore some predominately DH / immobile types, but I’m not sure at this point if it’s working, and am tinkering with some other options. We also have 3 rate statistics (OBP, ISO, UZR/150) and 1 counting stat (EqBRR) which works pretty well this late in the season, but is annoying me.
Also, nothing on the grid is normalized for league, park, or position. After the full database is complete, I will start the positional translations (oh please, someone give me some ideas for catchers) to see how that will work. I believe Justin and I are both opposed to weighting the graph itself (avoiding getting something that looks like this: http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/2008/statepopredblue1024.png), but I’d be a lot more interested in a scoring system that can evaluate the grid and score him in a way that would evaluate his best use (if any at the major league level): For example, a high middle-infield defense score and speed rating would rate as a Pinch Runner / Defensive Replacement, and where they would rank vs. other players of their own type – Top Tier, Middle Tier, Lower Tier. Simple, but potentially very effective I think. For example, I think that Adam Dunn would hopefully profile and auto-score as an Upper Tier Designated Hitter, and then perhaps in what percentile for that position. Perhaps even positional suggestions? A player with a great bat struggling at a position too far on the left of the defensive spectrum could profile as a Middle Tier Second Baseman vs. say a Lower Tier Shortstop.
Thanks for the advice, comments, and expertise. We’ll keep tinkering with this over the next couple of weeks to incorporate a lot of these ideas and see if we can come up with something cool.
by Walter Fulbright on Sep 16, 2009 6:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Can you use the "catch" statistic
from Baseball Projection?
Catch – Catcher ratings based on stolen bases allowed, caught stealing, errors, wild pitches, passed balls, and pickoffs. Catchers are compared to the yearly league average, with the averages splits catching lefthanded and righthanded pitchers
by jwiscarson on Sep 16, 2009 10:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fangraphs really should be doing that
I’m calculating it (or my variant of it, anyway) myself for the power rankings starting tomorrow. But I think it’s long overdue over at fangraphs. Something’s better than nothing.
-j
My blog: Basement-Dwellers.com
Also: Beyond the Boxscore
Twittering: @jinazreds
by JinAZ on Sep 16, 2009 10:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
License this to MLB The Show
would be a great graphic for a video game.
by seanbergmanrules on Sep 16, 2009 7:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Steve Phillips Composite
NY Mets, Catcher Omir Santos
Based onProperly correcting the BtB performance chart.
We all know what REALLY winz games!
By User Michkin
Via Amazin Avenue
by nelsonc on Sep 16, 2009 8:43 PM EDT reply actions 7 recs
Nice.
I’m eagerly awaiting the Bill Bavasi composite.
by JonBBT on Sep 16, 2009 10:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Undefined
divide by zero error.
http://pedrocalderon.files.wordpress.com/2009/07/bavasi.jpg
by Tommy Bennett on Sep 16, 2009 11:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Phenomenal.
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by Sky Kalkman on Sep 16, 2009 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
An idea to account for other categories helping one category look better...
Have each quadrant always be shaped like a kite, intersecting the borders of its region at the 25th percentile no matter what, and the tip of the kite extending towards 100% (or back towards 0% and beyond). This would be more like a rotating bar graph, but still look a little cooler. Not sure it’d look as cool as the spider plot, but maybe worth a try.
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by Sky Kalkman on Sep 17, 2009 9:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Alternative
Nice chart, attractive. But I want to be a pain and suggest an alternative, which isn’t as fancy but allows better comparisons than side-by-side diamond views.
Composite Baseball Player Evaluation
Jon Peltier
by JonPeltier on Sep 17, 2009 10:05 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
These would look awesome in a book similar to BP...
I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.
by EnglishMariner on Sep 17, 2009 5:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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