John Smoltz: What's Left in the Tank?

John Smoltz is now a free-agent. Will he retire or get a job in someone's bullpen? If someone does pick him up, what's he got left?

Not much, I'm afraid.

From the land of small samples ...

2009 fastball

  • lost speed compared to 2007 & 2008
  • less whiffs
  • more flies, less grounders
  • more homers

2009 slider

  • less sluttery than the 2007 & 2008 version
  • more strikes
  • less whiffs
  • more flies, less pop-ups

2009 splitter

  • same pitch as 2007 & 2008
  • less whiffs
  • more strikes
  • more liners, no homers

2009 curveball

  • same pitch as 2007 & 2008
  • more strikes
  • still a good whiff rate
  • still not put in play much

Smoltz' speed plot is somewhat depressing, and his run values per 100 pitches doesn't look any better.

In this plot time is on the x-axis (not labeled). You can see the gap between 2008 and 2009 when he wasn't piching.

Smoltz1_medium

Fenway has been reading high for pitch speed this year, so what you see above for 2009 may be an optimistic view of Smoltz' velocity range.

Smoltz2_medium

Again, small samples bring their noise to the run values, but Smoltz has been getting killed by his fastball. Does that sound like something you want hanging around in your favorite contender's bullpen?

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Beyond the Box Score

You must be a member of Beyond the Box Score to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Beyond the Box Score. You should read them.

Join Beyond the Box Score

You must be a member of Beyond the Box Score to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Beyond the Box Score. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker