Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: The Worst Team Ever Projected?

Graph of the Day: NL Central Rivals

One of the cool things that Baseball Prospectus offers is a day to day history of each teams playoff odds.  While their odds are clearly inferior to mine :), this is a very cool feature.

When graphed out, these allow you to see the peaks in allies that each team has throughout the season.  Given the flurry of trades that the Cardinals have made over the past couple of weeks, I thought it would be cool to see how their odds have progressed, and how that compares to some other teams in their division:   

Playoff_odds_medium

If it's a little fuzzy, you can click on the graph for a larger view.

These are taken from BP's PECOTA adjusted playoff odds page.  For the sake of making a better comparison, I chose to only graph each teams odds of winning the division. 

You can see three distinct trends for these teams.  The Cubs started off as the preseason favorites; however, they experienced a slow and steady decline throughout the year until a recent upswing in their odds.  The Brewers started off as a longshot, but were able to work they way into the lead before plummeting over the past 20 games.  Interestingly, their playoff odds trend resembles a bell curve.  The Cardinals, on the other hand, have been slowly but surely working their way up, and are now the divisional favorites.

Comment 5 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

We use numbers and stuff.
Community Guidelines
Why be a member?

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
Context Neutral Run and RBI projections
Small
Free Agent Compensation
Img_0001_small
Value of Various Plate Approaches
Strike_three2_small
Effect of Foul Area on Strikeouts: AL 1954-68: Erratum
Small
Baseball on a stick
Small
Player Evaluating Statistic
Baseball_small
Rays Outfield: Cheap but Extremely Productive
Small
A new xBABIP
Small
Jack Morris "pitching to the score"
Strike_three2_small
Foul Area and Differences in SO: AL vs NL

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Follow us on Facebook!

Follow us on Twitter!

SaberGraphics

MLB Daily Dish

Get the latest MLB Trade Rumors, Transactions, and News at MLB Daily Dish!


Managing Editor:

Jbopp-kc_small Justin Bopp

Columnists:

Adam_small adarowski

Dme_small Satchel Price

Closeup4_small J-Doug

Carlosicon_small Julian Levine

Billy_and_daddy_4th_of_july_small Bill Petti

Featuring:

Dayton_small Jeff Zimmerman

12475953_small Jacob Peterson

Picture-6_small Chris St. John

Btbpro_small Dave Gershman

229331_10150183361996591_674441590_6760167_6637860_n3_small Lewie Pollis

Img_3830_small David Fung