Beyond the Box Score: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Follow the @sbnation MMA Twitter List

Matt Herges: The reason we look at peripherals

[Reposted from Purple Row]

 

2007, Matt Herges was a hero. Sported a low ERA, pitched in some big games during Rocktober, and most importantly, tossed 3 scoreless innings of relief in the game 163 tiebreaker to send the Rockies to their 2nd ever playoff berth.

Herges, who sported a career-low WHIP in 2007 (and his 2nd lowest season ERA) in 2007, watched his numbers fall apart to an ERA near double his 2007 tally and his whip skyrocketed to levels near his career worst.

So what has really changed?

Well, it's honestly hard to say. Take a look at the past 3 seasons of Matt Herges:

Season

Team

ERA

G

IP

TBF

2007

Rockies

2.96

35

48.2

191

2008

Rockies

5.04

58

64.1

294

2009

Indians

3.55

21

25.1

107

 

Just based on those numbers, it's looking as if we're dealing with 2 separate pitchers here: a downright solid long reliever in 2007, a mopup guy in 2008, and a decent middle reliever in 2009.

Let's check out his peripherals:

Season

Team

K/9

BB/9

K/BB

HR/9

FIP

2007

Rockies

5.55

2.77

2.00

0.74

4.00

2008

Rockies

6.44

3.36

1.92

0.70

4.06

2009

Indians

6.39

2.13

3.00

1.07

3.87

 

You can that Herges' K rate has actually improved a bit, but isn't too far off of his career K rate (6.14), and while his BB rate has fluctuated from year to year, it's actually better than his career BB rate (3.37). His HR rate has inched up a bit, but it's still at a decent level, just a bit above his career (0.84). Just looking at his FIP, it's pretty clear that Herges hasn't really changed TOOOOO much over the past couple of seasons.

The point to all this is Herges is pitching well now. He's not stellar, he's not mindblowing, but he's pitching above the level that he was in 2007 when we went to the World Series. I really think that he could be a solid addition to this ballclub. If the fact that he's still as decent as he was back when we was fab isn't enough to sell you, check out ZIPS' projections on him the rest of the season:

Season

Team

K/9

BB/9

K/BB

HR/9

AVG

WHIP

BABIP

LOB%

FIP

2009

ZIPS

6.28

2.67

2.35

0.94

.264

1.31

0.299

---

3.89

 

Frankly, those kind of numbers are the kind of numbers I want in my pen. We'd probably sign him to a MLC and then from there, wait until one of the relievers starts to fall apart. We need bullpen help, and I think Herges could be some of the help we're looking for.

Just like in 2007, Herges' money pitch has been his changeup, which Fangraphs lists as 2.80 runs above average per 100 changeups (I don't really know what this means, but it's his good pitch) but his fastball is lacking in excitement. He's lost about .5-1mph off of it since 2007, but at the same time, it was barely cracking 90 as it was.

So in essence, he still has some tools that we might need to use, and he could probably fill in where we're hurting. Is he the key acquisition we're looking for? Probably not, but he certainly can't hurt. Especially given the performance we saw tonight out of our other ragtag relievers.


1 recs  |  Comment 1 comment

Story-email Email Printer Print

More from Beyond the Box Score

Random Idea: FIP+

Oct 2008 by R.J. Anderson - 18 comments

Comments

Display:

Great Fanpost

No one goes there anymore, it's too crowded. - Yogi Berra

by trademan56 on Jul 10, 2009 2:39 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

We use numbers and stuff.
Community Guidelines
Why be a member?
Start posting on Beyond the Box Score »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
The "30 parks on a budget" challenge
Sunflower_small
World Series Simulation, Game #6
Small
JT20 Dynasty League
E52205a2_small
New Look
Sth70021_small
Exploring Hit f/x, Albeit Badly
Redcap_small
Ricky Nolasco: 4 WAR or 1 WAR?
Redcap_small
Apparently I can't do park adjustments
Small
Which tells us more: The last 7 at bats or 7 at bats against this pitcher?
Sleepy_jeff_small
How Efficient and Effective Were the Rockies in 2009?
Limes_125_small
Twitter WAR: Fred McGriff, Tim Raines, and other Hall of Fame issues

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recent FanShots

The Mistake Lottery
On the Field, the Yankees Are The Team of the Decade. Off It? The Red Sox.
Tigers' all-time WAR leaders
Primer on Runs Created
How to improve basketball
LB Keith Bulluck uses a sabermetric analogy to explain the Titans' quarterback situation.
Alcides Escobar "abandoned his daughter before she was born"
UZR, Scouting, and the Fans
Not-So-Lousy Lineup Optimizer, Playoff Edition: New York Yankees

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

BtB on Twitter

Main Feed: @BtBScore

Tommy B: @tommy_bennett
Sky: @BtB_Sky
Dan: @dturkenk
Harry: @harrypav
Jinaz: @jinazreds
Jack: @jh_moore
Erik: @Erik_Manning
Tommy R: @trancel
Justin: @justinbopp

Subscribe to BtB via Email

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner

Most Commented

Limes_125_small
Time To Move On
770insig_small
Negative Team WAR - 2009 Edition
Nando_small
A Complete and Lenghty List of Baseball-Related Things Miguel Olivo is Good At
Redcap_small
Hardy for Gomez: A Defensive Win-Win
E52205a2_small
New Look

Managers

Nando_small R.J. Anderson

Limes_125_small Sky Kalkman

E52205a2_small Tommy Bennett

Editors

Face_small Harry Pavlidis

Rawlings_baseball_bigger_small Dan Turkenkopf

770insig_small Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal)

Aviles_small Justin Bopp

Authors

Banny_small erik

Raysring1_small Tommy Rancel

Jinaz-reds-avatar_small JinAZ

Jmlogo_small Jack Moore

1753738656_110919ebe9_o_small vivaelpujols

1_small Graham

Baseball_small Mike Rogers

Redcap_small SFiercex4

Small Patrick Clark

Walter_album_small Walter Fulbright