BtB Poor Man's Projected Season Standings as of July 31, 2009

by Dan Turkenkopf on Jul 31, 2009 3:00 PM EDT in Power Rankings

Perhaps the second best day is upon us. Trade Deadline Day is probably the Thanksgiving (where we fill up on rumors and deals until we fall asleep at 5 pm) to Opening Day's Christmas (replace with appropriate holidays for your nationality and beliefs).

While fun, all the movement throws these projections into havoc. Please keep in mind that none of the trades are reflected here at all.

To continue the somewhat tortured holiday metaphor (and even mix it somewhat), Justin is the ghost of performance past. Nick is the ghost of performance future. And that makes me the ghost of the performance sorta kinda present but not really because it's only partially based in reality. Anyway, moving on...

The AL Central tightened up quite a bit this week. At this point it's anybody's game. Well anybody on the White Sox, Tigers or Twins. The Indians and Royals can rest up for next season.

In the NL Central the Cubs continue their resurgence in both the regular standings and the projected ones - jumping into a tie with St. Louis in both. Milwaukee has fallen off the pace some and is fighting with Houston for the "we're not far enough out of it to give up, but we probably aren't really going anywhere" prize. Forget I said all that if one of them lands Halladay though.

The AL East is still the big man on campus, although Tampa Bay has fallen out the three spot in the end of the season standings. They're still in a tight race for the wild card with whoever doesn't win the division out of the Yankees and the Red Sox, with Texas sitting in the background biding their time.

The Mets halted their free fall this week, gaining three games. Which was just enough to keep them solidly in fourth place in the NL East. But I'm not sure anyone notices that they're still playing games there.

The Giants have played well above their deserved record to this point. If they can continue to do so, it will be quite a battle with Colorado for the NL Wild Card. San Diego actually improved a game this week, but because Washington improved by three, there's actually some competition for the first pick next season.

Full standings after the jump...

Disclaimer: These projected standings are based on Justin's Power Rankings. They do not accurately predict how the remainder of the season will actually unfold. Things like injuries, timely hitting, teams playing each other, and just plain old chance can cause major fluctuations in these results.

AL East

Team	Current Wins	Current Losses	eW%lg	Season Wins	Season Losses	Season W%	Change
Yankees	62	39	0.603	99	63	0.611	+2
Red Sox	59	42	0.576	94	68	0.580	0
Rays	55	47	0.597	91	71	0.562	-2
Blue Jays	49	53	0.544	82	80	0.506	0
Orioles	44	57	0.450	71	91	0.438	-1

AL Central

Team	Current Wins	Current Losses	eW%lg	Season Wins	Season Losses	Season W%	Change
White Sox	51	51	0.532	83	79	0.512	-3
Tigers	53	47	0.477	83	79	0.512	0
Twins	52	50	0.490	81	81	0.500	-1
Indians	42	60	0.492	72	90	0.444	+1
Royals	40	61	0.435	67	95	0.414	0

AL West

Team	Current Wins	Current Losses	eW%lg	Season Wins	Season Losses	Season W%	Change
Angels	60	40	0.516	92	70	0.568	+1
Rangers	56	43	0.514	88	74	0.543	+1
Mariners	53	48	0.447	80	82	0.494	-3
Athletics	43	58	0.452	71	91	0.438	+1

NL East

Team	Current Wins	Current Losses	eW%lg	Season Wins	Season Losses	Season W%	Change
Phillies	58	41	0.549	93	69	0.574	+1
Braves	51	50	0.551	85	77	0.525	0
Marlins	53	48	0.465	81	81	0.500	+2
Mets	49	51	0.458	77	85	0.475	+3
Nationals	32	70	0.448	59	103	0.364	+3

NL Central

Team	Current Wins	Current Losses	eW%lg	Season Wins	Season Losses	Season W%	Change
Cardinals	56	48	0.501	85	77	0.525	+1
Cubs	54	46	0.503	85	77	0.525	+4
Brewers	51	51	0.475	80	82	0.494	-2
Astros	51	51	0.464	79	83	0.488	-1
Pirates	43	58	0.467	71	91	0.438	-3
Reds	45	56	0.402	70	92	0.432	-3

NL West

Team	Current Wins	Current Losses	eW%lg	Season Wins	Season Losses	Season W%	Change
Dodgers	62	39	0.598	98	64	0.605	-4
Rockies	54	47	0.582	90	72	0.556	-1
Giants	55	46	0.464	83	79	0.512	+1
Diamondbacks	44	58	0.521	75	87	0.463	+1
Padres	41	62	0.372	63	99	0.389	+1