BtB Poor Man's Projected Season Standings as of July 24, 2009

We're back after a week off. Unlike Justin, I didn't get to go anywhere.  So I'm much less tan and much more disgruntled.

It's been a interesting couple of weeks. Despite quite a few teams making major moves, the divisional picture hasn't changed all that much.

The Phillies gained another five games in the win column, pushing their projected record to 92-70.  But their lead over Atlanta stayed constant at seven games.  The Braves vaulted themselves into the wild card race with their performance and find themselves just four games behind the Rockies.

I didn't think it was possible, but the Mets lost another four games and now project to win only 74 games for the season.  Washington dropped even further as well, but that just solidifies their hold on Bryce Harper.

In the AL West the Angels have opened up a four game lead over Texas.  And with Arte Moreno thinking ace pitcher, it's likely that gap will continue to widen. Seattle's had a nice run to push over .500 in the projected standings.  Overall, the four AL West teams gained 11 games in the standings in the past two weeks - by far the biggest positive change in baseball.

The AL East shows little signs of loosening up.  Despite winning seven in a row in real life, the Yankees' projection remains unchanged at 97 wins.  Boston fell a few games off the pace and into a very tight wild card race with the Rays, but this one remains way too close to be definitive about.  Next week could very well jumble the teams into a completely different order.

There's not a whole lot to say about the NL West except that the Dodgers and Rockies are really good.  San Francisco's meteoric climb was halted over the past few weeks, leaving them nine back of the Rockies for the wild card. According to Justin, San Diego has been by far the worst team in the majors this season, but all they'll win for their prize is the second pick in the draft.  They probably wouldn't have had the money to sign Harper anyway and we wouldn't want to see another Matt Bush situation, right?

I've left the Central divisons for last and for good reason.  Out of the 11 teams across both leagues, only the White Sox project for more than 85 wins.  It's a three team race in the AL with Chicago holding the lead and the momentum (for what it's worth). 

The NL Central is simply indecipherable.  Four teams have a real chance to win the division.  None of them appear to be very good, but the playoff berth is pretty much up for grabs.  It's even tighter in real life, where even the Reds and Pirates are a hot streak away from thinking they're in contention.

Full standings after the jump...

Disclaimer: These projected standings are based on Justin's Power Rankings. They do not accurately predict how the remainder of the season will actually unfold.  Things like injuries, timely hitting, teams playing each other, and just plain old chance can cause major fluctuations in these results.

AL East

Team Current Wins
Current Losses eW%lg Season Wins Season Losses Season W% Change
Yankees
58 37 0.589 97 65 0.599 0
Red Sox
55 39 0.579 94 68 0.580 -2
Rays
52 44 0.620 93 69 0.574 -1
Blue Jays
47 49 0.536 82 80 0.506 -2
Orioles 41 53 0.449 72 90 0.444 0


AL Central

Team Current Wins
Current Losses eW%lg Season Wins Season Losses Season W% Change
White Sox
50 45 0.537
86 76 0.537 0
Tigers
49 44 0.499 83
79 0.512 -2
Twins
48 48 0.509 82 80 0.506 +1
Indians 38 58 0.466 69 93 0.426 -1
Royals 37 57 0.440 67 95 0.414 -5


AL West

Team Current Wins
Current Losses eW%lg Season Wins Season Losses Season W% Change
Angels 56 38 0.516 91 71 0.562 +5
Rangers 52 41 0.508 87 75 0.537 +1
Mariners 51 44 0.476 83 79 0.512 +4
Athletics 40 54 0.447 70 92 0.432 +1


NL East

Team Current Wins
Current Losses eW%lg Season Wins Season Losses Season W% Change
Phillies 54
39 0.548 92 70 0.568 +5
Braves 49 47 0.538 85 77 0.525 +5
Marlins 49 47 0.457 79 83 0.488 0
Mets 44 50 0.445 74 88 0.457 -4
Nationals 28 67 0.425 56 106 0.346 -2


NL Central

Team Current Wins
Current Losses eW%lg Season Wins Season Losses Season W% Change
Cardinals 52 46 0.495 84 78 0.519 -1
Brewers 48 47 0.494 81 81 0.500 -2
Cubs 48 45 0.485 81 81 0.500 +2
Astros 49 46 0.464 80 82 0.494 +4
Pirates 42 53 0.478 74 88 0.457 -1
Reds 44 50 0.420 73 89 0.451 -2


NL West

Team Current Wins
Current Losses eW%lg Season Wins Season Losses Season W% Change
Dodgers 61 34 0.607 102 60 0.630 +1
Rockies
52 43 0.581 91 71 0.562 +2
Giants 51 44 0.465 82 80 0.506 -1
Diamondbacks 41 55 0.504 74 88 0.457 0
Padres 37 59 0.383 62 100 0.383 -4
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