PECOTA Adjusted National League Playoff Odds (5/7)
- Dodgers 88.9%
- Cubs 65.4%
- Mets 47.9%
- Phillies 45.3%
- Cardinals 40.7%
6 months ago
philkid3
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Exact same as the American League odds.
Most teams have cleared 1/6th of the season. These are Baseball Prospectus’s playoff odds regressed to the PECOTA pre-season projections. Numbers are as of May 7th.
by philkid3 on May 8, 2009 3:52 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
In other words...
Odds that any non-Dodger NL West team makes the playoffs = 34%
Also, I’m not sure why I (or anyone) didn’t think of the BPro playoff odds page as a source for updated projected standings based on what’s happened so far in the season. Quite handy.
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on May 8, 2009 9:28 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
of course, as i know you know, we need to keep in mind that those preseason projections are just that.
manny ain’t getting 75% of the playing time for the dodgers anymore, for example. pecota adjusted gets less and less relevant as the season goes on.
White Sox Minor League Updates: http://twitter.com/SouthSidelarry
by larry on May 8, 2009 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What would be nice is if they updated the projected playing time. That would be extremely useful.
And updated PECOTAs, too, although that’s not happening until they get them out of Excel.
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on May 8, 2009 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
that sounds like a lot of work. i don't think they'd do that until they started charging for their site or something.
White Sox Minor League Updates: http://twitter.com/SouthSidelarry
by larry on May 8, 2009 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
hmmm
St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008
by vivaelpujols on May 10, 2009 1:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah 40%
St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008
by vivaelpujols on May 10, 2009 1:16 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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