A look back at the 1st round of the 1995 draft
Farm-niks rejoice, we're just a little more than a month away from the draft! Last time I did a little retro of the 1994 draft. This time we'll look at the '95 draft. This a much improved draft class than the one that proceeded it, with several all-stars.
In the chart you'll find some relevant info, including whether the player was drafted out of high school or college, as well as their six-year WAR totals. Why six years? Because that is the time it takes before they become eligible for free agency, or, in other words, when they quit being a bargain to the club employing them.
| Player | POS | Team | HS/College | WAR |
| Darin Erstad | OF | CAL | College | 19.6 |
| Ben Davis | C | SD | HS | 2.9 |
| Jose Cruz | OF | SEA | College | 12 |
| Kerry Wood | P | CHC | HS | 20.6 |
| Ariel Prieto | P | OAK | Cuba | 2.9 |
| Jaime Jones | OF | FLA | HS | 0 |
| Jonathan Johnson | P | TEX | College | -0.9 |
| Todd Helton | 1B | COL | College | 19.8 |
| Geoff Jenkins | OF | MIL | College | 13.4 |
| Chad Hermansen | SS | PIT | HS | -3.4 |
| Mike Drumright | P | DET | College | 0 |
| Matt Morris | P | STL | College | 16.6 |
| Mark Redman | P | MIN | College | 9.1 |
| Reggie Taylor | OF | PHI | HS | -0.4 |
| Andy Yount | P | BOS | HS | 0 |
| Joe Fontenot | P | SF | HS | -0.8 |
| Roy Halladay | P | TOR | HS | 19.8 |
| Ryan Jaroncyk | SS | NYM | HS | 0 |
| Juan LeBron | OF | KC | HS | 0 |
| David Yocum | P | LAD | College | 0 |
| Alvie Shepherd | P | BAL | College | 0 |
| Tony McKnight | P | HOU | HS | 1.1 |
| David Miller | 1B | CLE | College | 0 |
| Corey Jenkins | OF | BOS | HS | 0 |
| Jeff Liefer | 3B | CHW | College | -2 |
| Chad Hutchinson | P | ATL | HS (did not sign) |
0 |
| Shea Morenz | OF | NYY | College | 0 |
| Michael Barrett | C | MTL | HS | -2.9 |
| Chris Haas | 3B | STL | HS | 0 |
| Dave Coggin | P | PHI | HS | 0.2 |
- Despite an on again, off again relationship with the disabled list, Kerry Wood produced the most of any of the first rounders during his first six years.
- For some reason, Cuban emigre' Ariel Prieto had to go through the draft. Anyone remember why? Regardless of why, the pick didn't really pan out.
- It was a great year for college hitters. Todd Helton, Darin Erstad and Geoff Jenkins all become all-stars. Todd Helton obviously turned out to be head-and-shoulders better than Erstad and Jenkins, but for a while there, Erstad and Jenkins were mostly pretty good ballplayers. Jose Cruz was another solid college position player. Helton, Cruz and Erstad all had the common denominator of being rather excellent defenders.
- Terrible year for high school hitters.
- High school pitchers are typically the riskiest of picks. Two panned out - Halladay and Wood - out of six, but together they gave the HS pitcher class an average WAR of 1.14 per season proving that sometimes it's good to gamble on upside.
- Speaking of Halladay...Mark Redman. Over Roy Halladay. Over Roy Halladay!?!
- I didn't know if I should have counted Hutchinson. I mean, he didn't sign so he didn't cost the Braves any money, but he cost them a pick. He didn't contribute to the Cardinals either, who drafted him a year later. For that matter, he didn't help the Cowboys, either.
- Helton has 54 WAR and counting. He slugged under .400 last year and played in only 83 games, but seems to be back to his old ways. He's 35 and signed through 2011, with a club option through 2012. 63-65 WAR for his career doesn't seem out of reach, which would put him up there in Hall of Fame consideration, but I have serious doubts Cooperstown will ever come calling.
Averages for each group:
| Group | # | Total WAR | Avg. Per Season |
| College Hitters | 7 | 62.8 | 1.5 |
| HS Hitters | 9 | -3.8 | -0.07 |
| College Pitchers | 6 | 24.8 | 0.69 |
| HS Pitchers | 6 | 40.9 | 1.14 |
0 recs |
17 comments
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Comments
Never gets old seeing how many busts there are.
Did you run averages by type of pick this time?
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on May 6, 2009 3:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm bugged by Erstad being so close to Helton.
I remember Hutchinson’s first throw in the NFL. It was a perfect spiral and arch some 60 yards at the end of the half and landed beautifully over the head of the corner and in to the arms of the receiver in the endzone. It was dropped, but it inspired me to believe he was the future.
Sad times.
by philkid3 on May 6, 2009 3:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
people still are bugged by defensive value, huh.
White Sox Minor League Updates: http://twitter.com/SouthSidelarry
by larry on May 6, 2009 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd say Helton's 7th+ seasons were a wee bit better than Erstad's 7th+ seasons, though.
Erstad had that one awesome year, which carried him.
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
by Sky Kalkman on May 6, 2009 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Juan LeBron...seriously how great is Juan LeBron
www.draysbay.com
by Tommy Rancel on May 6, 2009 4:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
not only did he not make it to the majors,
he was one of the regrettable cuts in the Nike “LeBrons” commercials
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.
by erik on May 6, 2009 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
erik - any plans for on going team totals
by Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal) on May 6, 2009 6:52 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Woody
I wouldn’t have guessed that.
by Harry Pavlidis on May 6, 2009 8:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Prieto
He defected from Cuba to the United States, making him eligible for the draft. If he had defected to the Dominican or something, he would have been a free agent.
Too bad for Oakland, because they were planning to take Todd Helton before Prieto showed up.
by kenarneson on May 11, 2009 2:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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