Frequent BtB goer Dan Turkenkopf looks at stealing home plate in the 2000's. He finds that the average break even point is around 35%, meaning that you would only need to be successful in 1 out of 3 attempts for it to be worth it. Since 2000, 60% of guys who have attempted were successful! Also, he looks at each attempt, showing the context and the reactions by people involved. Overall, an excellent read.

It does raise a couple of questions though. If the average break even point is 35%, then why don't people attempt to steal home more? It's likely that more steals would make opposing players more aware of them, thus lowering the success rate. However, the current success is "too high" in relation to the break even point, meaning that teams could afford to try and steal home a little more.