Meet Tim Collins
Quite an ordinary name for such an unusual pitcher. Just look at these numbers:
| Yr. | Level | Age | IP | H | K/PA | K/BB | FIP |
| 2007 | R | 17 | 6 | 6 | 29.20% | 3.5 | 2.14 |
| 2008 | A | 18 | 68.1 | 36 | 36.70% | 3.06 | 2.50 |
| 2009 | A+ | 19 | 14 | 4 | 50% | 6.5 | 0.46 |
Judging by the strikeout rates, you'd be tempted to think Collins is some blue chipper that throws 100 miles per hour, yet Collins is far from that. He went undrafted but signed with Toronto as a free agent. He's generously listed at 5-7 and 155 pounds; not exactly an intimidating figure on the mound. Collins is a lefty, and his fastball sits at around 88 MPH. His strikeout pitch is his curveball which grades as above average, and he has a less than spectacular change-up. And yet, despite his short stature and lack of overwhelming "stuff", he's faced 52 hitters this season and has struck out half of them. This just isn't supposed to happen.
Granted, it's only the Florida State League and it's only 50 batters, but yikes. We see very few successful pitchers of his stature, but when we do, it's usually because they have a trick or two up their sleeve -- Roy Face had a forkball. Bobby Schantz threw the knuckler. And to a lesser extent but in this present era, Danny Ray Herrera throws a screwball. Nothing about Collins' repertoire really stands out.
I have no idea how he is racking up these video game-esque strikeout numbers, but he is, and he has my attention.
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Guys like Collins
Almost always flame out once they get to higher levels. Not that I’m not rooting for him to succeed, I’m just saying.
I'm approximately .067% familiar with minor leaguers.
Could someone perhaps provide context as to how many guys in A or AA have impressive K rates in 10+ IP this year or 30+ IP in previous years? How old is he?
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
he's only 19
There are only five other pitchers in his league with k/pa percentages above 30%. last year there were only three and the highest was 41%. the season before that, there were only two pitchers with that high of a k rate.
I could look for more examples later
But look at the silly K rates Chuck James put up in the minors , 517 K’s in 465 innings. There’s also Tyler Clippard, with 765 K’s in 752 innings.
At some point, you reach hitters who are advanced enough to handle the junk and you have to be able to throw somewhat hard. There are exceptions, but for the most part soft tossers in the minors don’t succeed.
by Brendan Scolari on May 2, 2009 10:54 PM EDT up reply actions
lefties who throw 90 MPH are not soft-tossers.
White Sox Minor League Updates: http://twitter.com/SouthSidelarry
Who throws 90?
James throws an average of 87.7 MPH on fastballs for his career (according to Fangraphs), and Collins throws about 88 MPH according to Erik.
by Brendan Scolari on May 3, 2009 12:58 AM EDT up reply actions
collins.
see below. i’m not sure from whom erik got his info but i’ve got multiple sources who say it’s not accurate, including one who saw him pitch last sunday against brevard.
White Sox Minor League Updates: http://twitter.com/SouthSidelarry
well, okay.
there’s a reason i prefer using a range when talking velocity. he was sitting at 90 last week. goldstein has said his range is 88-93, iirc. tempest in a teapot either way.
White Sox Minor League Updates: http://twitter.com/SouthSidelarry
more
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2009/5/6/866682/who-is-tim-collins
White Sox Minor League Updates: http://twitter.com/SouthSidelarry
i'd also note, that i thought i'd read his fastball reached the low 90s.
White Sox Minor League Updates: http://twitter.com/SouthSidelarry
Hm, any idea what type?
The presumably lower arm slot? Hesitation?
by R.J. Anderson on May 2, 2009 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions
Hesitation remind me of Pat Neshek. What a weird delivery. Great personal blog, though. (Not aesthetically speaking.)
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
I wish it was more like Satchel Paige.
Step the plant foot down but don’t deliver the pitch until a few seconds later.
by R.J. Anderson on May 2, 2009 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions
his delivery has been compared to sandy koufax'
White Sox Minor League Updates: http://twitter.com/SouthSidelarry

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