FG: Confirmation Biases and Cliff Lee
Eric Seidman talks about folks assuming a Cliff Lee will regress to being a sub-par player again, and jumping on a bad first couple starts as being confirmation of bias.
I've seen a lot of people sticking to their guns on this.
Lee's line at this point: 8 GS, 54 IP, 3.00 ERA, 3.17 FIP, 7.0 K/9, 2.2 BB/9
That's good for a 1.7 WAR. He's still good.
6 months ago
philkid3
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And he's on my BoaB team!
St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008
by vivaelpujols on May 18, 2009 11:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
oh yeah?
well, I have Scott Kazmir AND B. J. Upton.
So there
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
by devil_fingers on May 19, 2009 12:04 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have Kazmir too
On a side note, I have to figure out a way to arrange for Philkid to have an “accident” and “trade” for Longoria and Pujols.
St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008
by vivaelpujols on May 19, 2009 12:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
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