Beyond the Box Score: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
New Blog: Sounder At Heart for Seattle Sounders Fans!

I did a little Fanpost at Royals Review... I originally was just going to do a generic WAR projection for the position pl ayers, averaging CHONE, PECTOA, and ZiPS, but then I came up with the idea do break it down into components by projection system so that people could "choose their own projection." Kind of a funny take referencing the old "choose your own adventure" books from my childhood or whatever. I thought it was a fun idea, anyway, to get people to understand how intuitive the notion of WAR really is, as well as letting them pick each projection they think is better, or to leave out parts they don't like (say, if they hate defensive stats). Would have been better with multiple choices for defensive projections or baserunning, of course, but given that I had to do the baserunning myself, I feel okay about it.

I'm not an "official" Royals blogger or anything, but I thought this was sort of an entertaining twist on the usual projections post that other people might get a kick out of and maybe run with.

7 months ago Newavatar_tiny devil_fingers 5 comments 0 recs  | 

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

At VEB chuckb gave us each player's 50% PECOTA projection

and we would decide if it was too high or too low, or just right. Than he averaged out the results to see what percentage we should go by.

St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008

by vivaelpujols on Apr 8, 2009 1:51 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yeah, that's a good idea, too

this isn’t as much of a community projection thing, but it’s a similar idea

Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary to Driveline Mechanics and elsewhere since sometime in 2008.

by devil_fingers on Apr 8, 2009 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

the results had the Cardinals winning

100 games, I believe. Didn’t work out the way I had hoped.

by erik on Apr 8, 2009 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

you can’t really trust people to be objective about their team

St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008

by vivaelpujols on Apr 8, 2009 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

We use numbers and stuff.
Community Guidelines
Why be a member?
Start posting on Beyond the Box Score »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
PZR-based Win Values 2001-2006

Recent FanPosts

Small
The "30 parks on a budget" challenge
Sunflower_small
World Series Simulation, Game #6
Small
JT20 Dynasty League
E52205a2_small
New Look
Sth70021_small
Exploring Hit f/x, Albeit Badly
Redcap_small
Ricky Nolasco: 4 WAR or 1 WAR?
Redcap_small
Apparently I can't do park adjustments
Small
Which tells us more: The last 7 at bats or 7 at bats against this pitcher?
Sleepy_jeff_small
How Efficient and Effective Were the Rockies in 2009?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recent FanShots

The Mistake Lottery
On the Field, the Yankees Are The Team of the Decade. Off It? The Red Sox.
Tigers' all-time WAR leaders
Primer on Runs Created
How to improve basketball
LB Keith Bulluck uses a sabermetric analogy to explain the Titans' quarterback situation.
Alcides Escobar "abandoned his daughter before she was born"
UZR, Scouting, and the Fans
Not-So-Lousy Lineup Optimizer, Playoff Edition: New York Yankees

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

BtB on Twitter

Main Feed: @BtBScore

Tommy B: @tommy_bennett
Sky: @BtB_Sky
Dan: @dturkenk
Harry: @harrypav
Jinaz: @jinazreds
Jack: @jh_moore
Erik: @Erik_Manning
Tommy R: @trancel
Justin: @justinbopp

Subscribe to BtB via Email

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner

Most Commented

Limes_125_small
Time To Move On
Aviles_small
Minnesota: Fielding TargetView Before & After JJ Hardy
Nando_small
A Complete and Lenghty List of Baseball-Related Things Miguel Olivo is Good At
770insig_small
Negative Team WAR - 2009 Edition
E52205a2_small
New Look

Managers

Nando_small R.J. Anderson

Limes_125_small Sky Kalkman

E52205a2_small Tommy Bennett

Editors

Face_small Harry Pavlidis

Rawlings_baseball_bigger_small Dan Turkenkopf

770insig_small Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal)

Aviles_small Justin Bopp

Authors

Banny_small erik

Raysring1_small Tommy Rancel

Jinaz-reds-avatar_small JinAZ

Jmlogo_small Jack Moore

1753738656_110919ebe9_o_small vivaelpujols

1_small Graham

Baseball_small Mike Rogers

Redcap_small SFiercex4

Small Patrick Clark

Walter_album_small Walter Fulbright