FanShot

In comparison to his career averages, batters are swinging at less Papelbon pitches than they have...

4

In comparison to his career averages, batters are swinging at less Papelbon pitches than they have in the past. Of those pitches, they are more likely to lay off pitches inside the zone than they had in the past. So hitters are being more selective against Papelbon this season. At the same time, contact rate overall for batters against Papelbon has jumped 8.3% over his career average. The most noticable difference is contact rate outside the strike zone, which has climbed the past two years. While I can't access this data by pitch type, I would strongly suggest that the movement away from the splitter is having an impact here. Also notable is that Papelbon's overall percentage of balls in the strike zone is down significantly this year. With an 85% plus mix of fastballs, you can surmise his control with the fastball isn't up to previous years' standards. Not only his Papelbon throwing less balls in the zone at large, his first pitch strike % has dipped below 60% compared to previous seasons. Papelbon is working from behind more often than he has in the past. More selective hitters and fewer swings and misses coupled with being behind in the count more often definately points to higher walk rates and a higher WHIP.

Concern for Papelbon? - Fire Brand of the American League

Trending Discussions

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Beyond the Box Score

You must be a member of Beyond the Box Score to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Beyond the Box Score. You should read them.

Join Beyond the Box Score

You must be a member of Beyond the Box Score to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Beyond the Box Score. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker