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Graph of the Day: Seattle's Revamped Outfield

To many analysts, the Mariners overhaul of their outfield was one of the biggest moves of the off-season. 

The team replaced Raul Ibañez and a mishmash of Wladimir Balentien, Jeremy Reed, and Brad Wilkerson with Endy Chavez and Franklin Gutierrez, in the hopes of improving their ability to prevent runs.

Let's compare 2008's OF to the planned arrangement for 2009.

As before, all data taken from David Pinto's tremendous Defensive Charts based on Probabalistic Model of Range ratings.

Mariners_of_2008_medium

2008's graph included all players who played over 100 innings at the given position.

Basically, Ibañez was horrendous in left, and while the right fielders graded out at slightly above average, there was at least one major hole where they were over 5 outs worse than average (largely the result of Ichiro and Balentien).

How does the new outfield alignment stack up?

Mariners_new_of_-_2008_medium

Keep in mind that the sample size for Gutierrez is fairly small in center field because of Grady Sizemore. The projections and the scouting reports suggest he will be far better than this. 

Still, simply replacing Ibañez with Chavez should result in at least one win, and potentially as many as three wins, defensively.  Pushing out Balentien, Reed and Wilkerson is just gravy.

It will be interesting to see if the fielders can meet the extremely high expectations - and how much of a difference it makes to the Mariners' record.

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Thanks Dan!

Should be interesting to see how Gutierrez transfers over to CF. I have high hopes

by mlbnotebook on Apr 2, 2009 9:47 AM EDT reply actions  

I like the white vector separators, Dan. Makes it all look cleaner.

I wish UZR would publish zone (not just slice) data like this, maybe regressed, smoothed, and compiled over multiple years.

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on Apr 2, 2009 4:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Do the Cardinals

With Rasmus in center

vivaelbeñsheets

by vivaelpujols on Apr 2, 2009 11:14 PM EDT reply actions  

These charts are glorious.

I can’t wait to see you do an update on the M’s outfield at, say, the all-star break.

by Decatur on Apr 3, 2009 4:16 AM EDT reply actions  

Probably have to wait until the offseason

David doesn’t release PMR throughout the season.

by Dan Turkenkopf on Apr 3, 2009 8:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

Just a note to everybody -- you can look up individual players over at Baseball Musings

For example, Ichiro in RF. Dave’s graphs even contain a bit more information, like opportunities in each vector.

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on Apr 3, 2009 8:06 AM EDT reply actions  

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