Umpires Effecting Game Scoring
I had a friend over this weekend that was a huge NBA nut and we got talking about Tim Donaghy. Besides Tim affecting the games he reffed, he also gave out the referee assignments before they were officially announced. (The NBA is not pursuing this avenue because they don't want the bias in referees to be in the lime light). The mob could then bet on the games before do to the tendencies of the referee.
I looked and saw what the difference spreads were in baseball and here are the hitter and pitcher friendly umpires against the spread in 2008 (at least 28 games behind the plate):
Hitter friendly:
G DARLING
J MEALS
J REYNOLDS
M HUDSON
T TSCHIDA
Pitcher friendly:
C MERIWETHER
A HERNANDEZ
B KNIGHT
M FOSTER
R KULPA
B DAVIDSON
almost 3 years ago
Jeff Zimmerman
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I found a site that went back to 2000 when the umps joined.
Standard ERA (not the best stat, but available in the data) for these
4 umps are really out over the last 9 years worth of data (SD = .2 runs/game)
Schrieber (5.03 ERA) and Reilly (5.01 ERA)
and
Eddings (3.95) and Hirschbeck (4.04 – retired)
I will do some larger write up in the future
Please do,
I’d love to be able to quit my job and bet on baseball for a living.
Where the Devil Don't Stay.
Here are the guys to bet on who have umped over 192 games
In covering the spread, no one covered over 70% of the time , but on the under, three umpires have covered over 70% of the time:
Rick Reed 71%
Joe West 71%
Jerry Meals 75%
by Jeff Zimmerman on Mar 17, 2009 12:16 AM EDT reply actions
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