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2009 Catcher Block Percentage


It's that time of year again.  I've finally gotten around to running the 2009 Catcher Block Percentage rankings.   As annual traditions go, it isn't up there with Thanksgiving, Christmas, or the Running of the Bulls, but hopefully you still enjoy it.

For those who aren't familiar with the stat, I look at how well a catcher stops runners from moving up on balls in the dirt.   Each wild pitch or passed ball saved is worth .27 runs (based on run expectancy and the timing of the events). Full methodology is described here.

This year I've made a few adjustments.  First, I've included 2 strike balls in the dirt with first base open as opportunities.  That was an oversight from previous years.  Second, I'm using a bit more Pitch F/X information in the analysis.

Results and more details can be found after the jump.

Star-divide

Because Pitch F/X basically gives us the flight path of the ball, we can determine where the pitch would have hit the ground and decide whether the ball was in the dirt based on that location.

I used a formula provided by Harry Pavlidis and an estimated catcher position catcher of 3 feet behind the front of home plate to divine which balls were likely in the dirt.

There's not a tremendous amount of overlap between the pitches the stringers classify as in the dirt and those the formula identifies. I'm not certain which is more reliable at this point in time, so I'll present the numbers for both.

One effort I'd like to kick off next season is to score pitches in the dirt at home and see those compare to both the stringers and the formula. I'll probably be looking for volunteers sometime during the spring to help out with that.

Anyway, on to the numbers.

First we'll look at those pitches the stringers scored as in the dirt. These are all the catcher with 100 or more opportunities. Clicking on the column headers allows you to sort.

Catcher Innings Misses Opportunities Block % Blocks AA Runs Runs/120
Gregg Zaun 643 11 269 0.959 18.79 5.07 7.06
Jason Varitek 924 18 377 0.952 23.75 6.41 6.37
Carlos Ruiz 882.33 14 251 0.944 13.8 3.73 5.56
Mike Rivera 271 8 142 0.944 7.73 2.09 5.5
Michel Hernandez 264.33 6 100 0.940 5.07 1.37 5.13
Raul Chavez 399 13 212 0.939 10.48 2.83 5
Jason LaRue 254 7 109 0.936 5.07 1.37 4.71
Chris Coste 352 7 107 0.935 4.85 1.31 4.58
Yadier Molina 1176.67 35 532 0.934 23.92 6.46 4.55
Kurt Suzuki 1173.33 33 485 0.932 20.71 5.59 4.32
Humberto Quintero 427 15 213 0.930 8.59 2.32 4.08
Matt Wieters 738.33 17 235 0.928 9.03 2.44 3.88
Ryan Doumit 615.33 21 265 0.921 8.35 2.25 3.19
Rod Barajas 974.33 29 356 0.919 10.43 2.82 2.96
Jeff Mathis 657 27 325 0.917 8.99 2.43 2.8
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 714 20 233 0.914 5.8 1.57 2.52
Jason Kendall 1162 51 563 0.909 11.35 3.06 2.04
Taylor Teagarden 491.67 17 181 0.906 3.05 0.82 1.7
Ramon Hernandez 451 13 136 0.904 2.06 0.56 1.53
Victor Martinez 687 23 239 0.904 3.47 0.94 1.47
Wil Nieves 553.67 25 256 0.902 3.35 0.9 1.32
Robinzon Diaz 283 16 159 0.899 1.61 0.43 1.02
Omir Santos 680.33 18 175 0.897 1.38 0.37 0.8
Mike Redmond 330.67 11 107 0.897 0.85 0.23 0.8
Yorvit Torrealba 545.33 20 187 0.893 0.71 0.19 0.38
Koyie Hill 627.33 25 230 0.891 0.47 0.13 0.21
Joe Mauer 939 29 266 0.891 0.46 0.12 0.17
Ivan Rodriguez 962 30 269 0.888 -0.21 -0.06 -0.08
Henry Blanco 508 18 161 0.888 -0.17 -0.05 -0.11
Chris Iannetta 763.67 24 212 0.887 -0.52 -0.14 -0.25
Kenji Johjima 580 21 185 0.886 -0.51 -0.14 -0.28
Gerald Laird 1090.33 43 374 0.885 -1.58 -0.43 -0.43
John Buck 366.67 17 147 0.884 -0.72 -0.19 -0.5
Jesus Flores 205.67 13 111 0.883 -0.71 -0.19 -0.64
Mike Napoli 758 43 361 0.881 -3.02 -0.82 -0.85
Dioner Navarro 921.33 35 291 0.880 -2.77 -0.75 -0.96
Jason Jaramillo 520 20 165 0.879 -1.73 -0.47 -1.06
Brian Schneider 437.33 14 114 0.877 -1.37 -0.37 -1.22
Bengie Molina 1042 48 359 0.866 -8.24 -2.22 -2.32
Ryan Hanigan 670.33 24 179 0.866 -4.18 -1.13 -2.36
Brian McCann 1078.67 37 276 0.866 -6.43 -1.74 -2.36
Miguel Montero 924.67 44 324 0.864 -8.12 -2.19 -2.53
Geovany Soto 811 34 247 0.862 -6.65 -1.8 -2.72
Russell Martin 1201 62 444 0.860 -12.83 -3.46 -2.92
A.J. Pierzynski 1104 43 302 0.858 -9.55 -2.58 -3.2
Nick Hundley 643.33 29 199 0.854 -6.96 -1.88 -3.54
Ronny Paulino 582.33 23 156 0.853 -5.72 -1.54 -3.71
John Baker 864 37 249 0.851 -9.42 -2.54 -3.83
Jorge Posada 785 41 272 0.849 -10.88 -2.94 -4.04
Eli Whiteside 314 18 113 0.841 -5.49 -1.48 -4.91
Miguel Olivo 845.67 59 368 0.840 -18.24 -4.92 -5.01
Kelly Shoppach 672 31 188 0.835 -10.18 -2.75 -5.48
Chris Snyder 436 28 157 0.822 -10.61 -2.86 -6.84
Josh Bard 630.67 41 218 0.812 -16.86 -4.55 -7.82
Rob Johnson 684.33 32 152 0.789 -15.17 -4.1 -10.09

 

And now the numbers based on Harry's formula. Same rules as above.

Catcher Innings Misses Opportunities Block % Blocks AA Runs Runs/120
Gregg Zaun 643 11 333 0.967 19.31 5.21 7.14
Carlos Ruiz 882.33 14 344 0.959 17.31 4.67 6.19
Chris Coste 352 7 144 0.951 6.11 1.65 5.22
Yadier Molina 1176.67 35 709 0.951 29.54 7.98 5.13
Mike Rivera 271 8 151 0.947 5.74 1.55 4.68
Michel Hernandez 264.33 6 112 0.946 4.19 1.13 4.61
Jason LaRue 254 7 127 0.945 4.56 1.23 4.42
Matt Wieters 738.33 17 295 0.942 9.85 2.66 4.11
Humberto Quintero 427 15 249 0.940 7.66 2.07 3.79
Chad Moeller 239.33 8 132 0.939 4.02 1.09 3.74
Jason Varitek 924 18 292 0.938 8.58 2.32 3.62
Kurt Suzuki 1173.33 33 529 0.938 15.15 4.09 3.52
Yorvit Torrealba 545.33 20 313 0.936 8.49 2.29 3.34
Jeff Mathis 657 27 422 0.936 11.41 3.08 3.33
Jason Kendall 1162 51 787 0.935 20.64 5.57 3.23
Dave Ross 354 8 121 0.934 3.01 0.81 3.06
Ryan Doumit 615.33 21 312 0.933 7.4 2 2.92
Raul Chavez 399 13 187 0.930 4.02 1.09 2.65
Rod Barajas 974.33 29 400 0.928 7.41 2 2.28
Brian McCann 1078.67 37 509 0.927 9.33 2.52 2.26
Chris Iannetta 763.67 24 305 0.921 3.76 1.02 1.52
Ramon Hernandez 451 13 160 0.919 1.56 0.42 1.2
Ivan Rodriguez 962 30 364 0.918 3.13 0.85 1.06
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 714 20 242 0.917 2.03 0.55 1.03
Jason Jaramillo 520 20 236 0.915 1.48 0.4 0.77
Victor Martinez 687 23 264 0.913 1.03 0.28 0.48
Henry Blanco 508 18 206 0.913 0.75 0.2 0.45
Wil Nieves 553.67 25 281 0.911 0.58 0.16 0.25
Koyie Hill 627.33 25 280 0.911 0.49 0.13 0.21
Mike Napoli 758 43 466 0.908 -0.58 -0.16 -0.15
Landon Powell 274 10 106 0.906 -0.35 -0.09 -0.41
Jesus Flores 205.67 13 137 0.905 -0.53 -0.14 -0.48
Dioner Navarro 921.33 35 367 0.905 -1.59 -0.43 -0.53
Geovany Soto 811 34 352 0.903 -1.96 -0.53 -0.69
John Buck 366.67 17 175 0.903 -1.07 -0.29 -0.75
Ryan Hanigan 670.33 24 247 0.903 -1.52 -0.41 -0.76
Omir Santos 680.33 18 183 0.902 -1.34 -0.36 -0.9
Brian Schneider 437.33 14 142 0.902 -1.07 -0.29 -0.93
A.J. Pierzynski 1104 43 421 0.898 -4.68 -1.26 -1.37
Miguel Montero 924.67 44 422 0.896 -5.59 -1.51 -1.63
Robinzon Diaz 283 16 151 0.894 -2.26 -0.61 -1.84
Ronny Paulino 582.33 23 214 0.893 -3.52 -0.95 -2.02
Taylor Teagarden 491.67 17 158 0.892 -2.62 -0.71 -2.04
Ramon Castro 401.67 11 102 0.892 -1.72 -0.46 -2.07
Kenji Johjima 580 21 191 0.890 -3.61 -0.97 -2.33
Gerald Laird 1090.33 43 391 0.890 -7.41 -2 -2.33
Paul Bako 299.33 13 116 0.888 -2.44 -0.66 -2.59
Brayan Pena 213.67 14 124 0.887 -2.71 -0.73 -2.69
John Baker 864 37 315 0.883 -8.33 -2.25 -3.25
Joe Mauer 939 29 243 0.881 -6.88 -1.86 -3.48
Bengie Molina 1042 48 401 0.880 -11.5 -3.11 -3.53
Miguel Olivo 845.67 59 487 0.879 -14.67 -3.96 -3.71
Jose Molina 356.67 16 127 0.874 -4.44 -1.2 -4.3
Jorge Posada 785 41 318 0.871 -12.05 -3.25 -4.66
Nick Hundley 643.33 29 224 0.871 -8.61 -2.32 -4.73
Russell Martin 1201 62 461 0.866 -20.04 -5.41 -5.35
Eli Whiteside 314 18 128 0.859 -6.35 -1.71 -6.1
Josh Bard 630.67 41 277 0.852 -15.79 -4.26 -7.01
Chris Snyder 436 28 185 0.849 -11.16 -3.01 -7.42
Rob Johnson 684.33 32 209 0.847 -12.98 -3.5 -7.64
Kelly Shoppach 672 31 192 0.839 -13.52 -3.65 -8.67

 

Let's wrap this up with some observations:

  • Gregg Zaun was a nice pickup for the Brewers.
  • The Royals will save about 7 runs with Jason Kendall behind the plate instead of the John Buck / Miguel Olivo combination. Too bad they'll lose more than that on offense.
  • Russell Martin had a poor year across the board - costing his team 3-5 runs with his blocking ability
  • We've found one part of the game where Joe Mauer isn't awesome. There's always been concern with his height affecting his catching, and it looks like there might be something to that theory
  • There are a lot of catchers I've never heard of. Shows what becoming a parent can do to you. Who are Ryan Hanigan, Eli Whiteside and Rob Johnson (besides the QB for the Bills?)

2 recs  |  Comment 32 comments |

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Hanigan

is one of the best defensive catchers in the league, not including blocking balls in the dirt, apparently. Also a good on-base guy, but I doubt Dusty Baker lets him start 80 games thanks to the presence of Ramon Hernandez. I bet he is the better player this year, though.

I’ve never heard of Landon Powell or Wil Nieves.

by kcgard2 on Dec 21, 2009 9:00 AM EST reply actions  

7 runs from just blocking balls?
The Royals will save about 7 runs with Jason Kendall behind the plate instead of the John Buck / Miguel Olivo combination. Too bad they’ll lose more than that on offense.

Glad I came, just wish I hadn't stayed so long.

by Warden11 on Dec 21, 2009 10:53 AM EST reply actions  

This is terrific stuff

I tried to do something like this based on WP+CS/G but that’s measuring a lot of pitcher mistakes as well. This works much better. Carlos Ruiz is probably the most underappreciated catcher — from April through September anyway — in baseball.

by chuckb on Dec 21, 2009 11:26 AM EST reply actions  

Who (is) Eli Whiteside?

The second best catcher in the Giants’ organization last year after Bengie Molina. He personally shaved a run off of his pitcher’s ERA every inning he played. If the Giants had given Whiteside’s starts to a rookie — a rookie with fewer than 100 games caught as a pro! — they wouldn’t have made the playoffs last year.

by Grant on Dec 21, 2009 12:29 PM EST reply actions  

/cries

Adopted Giant: Henry Sosa

by raisingcain on Dec 21, 2009 12:47 PM EST up reply actions  

well played

A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.

by wjackalope on Dec 21, 2009 6:55 PM EST up reply actions  

had he caught Sanchez' no-hitter

it would have been a minus 3 hitter.

FIRE BRIAN SABEAN... UNLESS HE KEEPS DRAFTING WELL. .. AND SIGNS UNDERRATED PLAYERS LIKE AFFELDT OR PHELPS. .. OR ALRIGHT WHO'S PLAYING WITH THE ALIEN MIND-SWITCHING RAY?
-------
PARPG- Indy post-apocalyptic roleplaying game currently in early planning stages.

by zenbitz on Dec 21, 2009 11:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Wait, are these 2009 numbers or projections?

I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.

Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.

by Matt Klaassen on Dec 21, 2009 1:06 PM EST reply actions  

2009 numbers

So Kendall’s not really 7 runs better – just was this year.. If I remember right, he does pretty well every year though.

Projections are my next task, since I now have enough data to Marcel it up.

by Dan Turkenkopf on Dec 21, 2009 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

You should have enough

Pitch f/x records the pitch description back till 2006, if I’m not mistaken, and definitely from 2007 on. You would have to rely on the “ball in the dirt” as classified by the stringers, but that doesn’t seem to be a huge problem.

by vivaelpujols on Dec 21, 2009 4:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Should these numbers be added to the Driveline Mechanics

model for judging catcher defense? Or is it not meant to be used in that way?

http://www.motor-citysports.blogspot.com

by Scottwood on Dec 21, 2009 1:14 PM EST reply actions  

questions

Gameday’s “Ball in dirt” includes some instances where there are not men on base. Ball in dirt is only for pitches called balls so whether there are 2 strikes or not is not relevant. The “Swinging Strike (blocked)” category I believe only is used with men on base or 2 strikes and no one on first. You don’t say that I can tell, but I assume you are combining both of these categories in your analysis?

Also, I looked at my Pitch f/x camera footage and the catcher appears to be holding his glove at least a foot to a foot and a half behind the back line of the batter’s box. The back line is 44.5" from the front of the plate so the closest the catcher could be catching a low ball is about 4.5 to 5 feet from the front of the plate. Because he usually has to turn his wrist it is more likely that he is closer to 5.5 feet from the front of the plate. This makes more sense as my pitch trajectory program only has a fast ball losing about 4 to 5 inches in 3 feet and a curve ball losing 7 to 9 inches and some of the Balls in dirt are crossing the front of the plate at a height of more than a foot. I don’t know what Harry’s formula is telling you, but my money is on the stringer’s info being more accurate.

by pjensen on Dec 21, 2009 2:31 PM EST reply actions  

Correct on the first point

I’m combining “Ball in Dirt” and “Swinging Strike (blocked)” and then only counting those that occur when there’s a chance for a runner (or batter) to advance.

I’d have to check at home, but I thought Swinging Strike (blocked) occurred any time a ball was in the dirt and the batter swung, not just with runners on. I could be mistaken though.

On the second point, we were just eyeballing where the catcher set up from some fairly poor pictures. Plus, we assumed a straight line for a catcher catching the ball where it might actually be more of a curve. So I wouldn’t be surprised if the stringers were more correct as well.

by Dan Turkenkopf on Dec 21, 2009 2:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Swinging strike blocked

I checked a few Swinging strike blocked from 4 days in September 2009 and I didn’t find any times when it wasn’t with men on base or with 2 strikes, but it was certainly not a definitive study. Better to confirm that men were on or there were 2 strikes than assume and be wrong.

by pjensen on Dec 21, 2009 3:03 PM EST reply actions  

It happened 5 times this year with no one on and less than 2 strikes.

2008 – 8 times
2007 – 7 times
2006 – 143 times
2005 – 45 times

So it looks to be negligible impact, at least 2006.

by Dan Turkenkopf on Dec 21, 2009 8:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Nice Report

I would like to see someone quantify game calling ability. It sure is hard to evaluate catchers overall because of the variables in their battery mates. This report does isolate some of the problems. With pitch F/X tech we could finally be able to able to gauge defensive ability in catchers.

How can you have any pudding if you havn`t eaten your meat? I`m still waiting...

by Barnese and Bailey Circus on Dec 21, 2009 3:54 PM EST reply actions  

Max Marchi looked into this at the Hardball times on Friday

He used pitch f/x to look at the difference in the pitches Sabathia threw to each catcher.

by Alex Krolewski on Dec 21, 2009 4:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Dave Allen did something similar a few weeks ago

He looked at all pitches (not just those in the dirt) and used the runners, pitch type, speed, and movement to determine the probability of a passed ball/wild pitch.
His results agree very well with yours.

by Alex Krolewski on Dec 21, 2009 4:18 PM EST reply actions  

I honestly was more excited

About the sortable tables. I wrote a fanpost about how to easily make tables for fanposts. But it looks like you use javascript. Which is allowed in main posts but not allowed in fanposts for some reason.

by FlimtotheFlam on Dec 21, 2009 5:49 PM EST reply actions  

Eli Whiteside

Every Giants fan will tell you that Eli does three things:

Catches No-Hitters
Hits Grand Slams
and rocks premature gray hair.

by Franchise55 on Dec 21, 2009 5:58 PM EST reply actions  

And steals September ABs from Buster Posey

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Dec 22, 2009 5:55 PM EST up reply actions  

I have a question

I just became a member of the site to try and learn more about stats and such. So, being an A’s fan and reading Kurt Suzuki’s line, it would appear that he is among the premier defensive catchers in the league, at least as far as blocking balls in the dirt go. How does he rank overall in terms of total defensive value? Or is there still no way to quantify this yet?

Just from watching him play almost every day, live and on television, I have come to respect Kurt’s overall game behind the dish, especially his game calling. As I said before, I’m trying to learn about all of this stuff…..

Can anyone help me? Cheers!
-MRod (A’s fan)

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 21, 2009 11:18 PM EST reply actions  

Catching defense

Is still in the early stages of being quantified. So no there are no definitive ways to judge a catcher’s defense. This is the reason that there is no catcher defense on fangraphs.

 Game-calling is probably the least quantified of the group, although there have been a few recent attempts to look at it.

Pitch-blocking seems to be the closest to being completed. One of the best reads is from devilfingers who now blogs at fangraphs: http://www.drivelinemechanics.com/2009/10/13/1082419/2009-catcher-defense-filling-in

Kurt Suzuki is probably just-below elite with projections ranging from good to elite. The 2010 projections being generous and placing him 3rd

by OsandRoyals on Dec 31, 2009 4:08 PM EST up reply actions  

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