Beyond the Box Score: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook

Rays & Braves Agree In Principal To Rafael Soriano Trade

Taking a quick timeout from other happenings, I get to cover a move near and dear to my heart. Somewhere between going to bed and waking up this morning, the Rays have all but completed a trade with the Braves that will bring Rafael Soriano to the Rays in exchange for Jesse Chavez. At post time the deal is pending medical approval and no money is expected to change hands.

Soriano looked like he was headed to the top of the free agent relief crop after posting stellar numbers as the Braves part-time closer. He finished the season with a sub 3 ERA as well as a sub 3 xFIP. His 3.43 FIP also shows his above-average-ness. Bolstered by a 93 mph fastball, and a 10 mile separation to his slider, Soriano's K/9 skyrocketed to 12.13 in 2009. Going forward he is more likely to settle around his career number of 9.87, but that's also impressive.

All this good stuff made Soriano a Type-A free agent. The Braves offered arbitration assuming he would decline and they would collect two draft picks. He doesn't throw much of a curveball, so I guess he tossed the Braves a slider when he  turned around and accepted arbitration after the Braves had already handed out over $10 million dollars for 2010 to Billy Wagner and Takashi Saito. Soriano granted permission to the Braves to seek a trade and that's what they did.

Star-divide

Braves fans may be disappointed in the return of Jesse Chavez as vision of Reid Brignac danced in some of their heads. However, like the situation the Rays were with Akinori Iwamura when they acquired Chavez, the Braves didn't have much leverage. Chavez is a decent return. He is cheap, has a live arm, and is due for some regression in the home run category that plagued him (I did some work on Chavez/HR here).

With the back end of the Braves pen settled, Chavez gives them a middle relief option that can pitch multiple innings and on back to back days if needed. He also comes with minor league options. In addition to Chavez, the club can take the $7+ million Soriano is set to make in 2010 and spread that elsewhere.

For the Rays, it's hard not to like this deal. I do think Soriano will end up being just a bit overpaid, but not by much. He's unlikely to repeat his 2 WAR of 2009, but should definitely be in 1.25-1.5 area. This puts his estimated value somewhere in between $6-$7 million. As part of terms to complete the trade, Ken Rosenthal reports the Rays agreed to a one-year deal with the reliever for just at or above $7 million.

He is a legit sub 4 FIP pitcher and scouts think his stuff will translate in the American League. He'll probably see some regression in the K/9 category (12.13 in 09, 9.87 career), but hopefully in the BB/9 (3.21 in 09, 2.81 career) as well. If he settles in the 3.5-3.75 FIP, I think the Rays would take that.

Soriano will also quiet the mainstream media's calls for the Rays needing a closer. Thanks to nice platoon split on both sides, he should be in the closing mix on most nights regardless of match up. For his career, he has killed righties to the tune of .168/.236/.284, but handles lefties as well .235/.303/.404. However, with J.P Howell available, the Rays could try and replicate the model Atlanta used at the end of games with Soriano and Mike Gonzalez. Soriano misses a lot of bats with a contact rate well below 80% and can strand runners with the best of them as evident in his 79.1% career LOB%.

Despite possibly carrying the title of closer, Soriano stands a chance of not even being the Rays best reliever. Once again, I expect that honor to go to Howell, who has put up slighly better numbers than Soriano over the past two seasons in the league's toughest division. Add in Grant Balfour and the Rays have a nifty back-end of the bullpen.

Bringing the right-handed Fuego to Howell's left-handed ice, Soriano will be a very good pick up for the Rays even if Stu Sternberg needed a bailout to finance his acquisition.

0 recs  |  Comment 2 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

We use numbers and stuff.
Community Guidelines
Why be a member?
Start posting on Beyond the Box Score »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
FIP is a Garbage Statistic
Jeter_400_101709_small
Scarier opponent come October?
Ghanafan03_741584gm-a_small
Los Angeles Angels trade for Dan Haren
Pedoria1_small
Pointing Fingers: Rollie Fingers and WAR
Small
Rajai Davis versus Gabe Gross
Small
Year of the Pitcher
Sealab_murphy_small
Prospect Surplus Value
T-rex_small
Saberizing a Mac, revisited
Small
How do you use splits?
Sealab_murphy_small
My Wang Problem

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Sign up for the BtB Newsletter!

BtB on Facebook

BtB on Twitter

RSS Feed: @BtBScore

Sky: @BtB_Sky

Jeff: @jeffwzimmerman
Steve: @steve_sommer
Dan: @dturkenk
Harry: @harrypav
Jinaz: @jinazreds
Jack: @jh_moore
Tommy R: @trancel
Justin: @justinbopp
Satchel: @SatchelPrice
Adam: @baseballtwit
Larry: @wezen_ball
Peter: @CapitolAvenue
Paul: @TheDiaTribe
Daniel: @CamdenCrazies
Matt: @devil_fingers

SBNation.com Recent Stories

ST. LOUIS - MAY 18:  Ryan Ludwick #47 of the St. Louis Cardinals rounds third base after hitting a game-winning homerun against the Washington Nationals at Busch Stadium on May 18, 2010 in St. Louis, Missouri.  The Cardinals beat the Nationals 3-2.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images) +3 updates

Padres, Cardinals, Indians Complete Three-Way Trade Involving Ryan Ludwick, Jake Westbrook

SEATTLE - JULY 08:  Alex Rodriguez #13 of the New York Yankees hits an RBI single in the ninth inning to give the Yankees a 3-1 lead against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field on July 8 2010 in Seattle Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images) +16 updates

Yankees' 9th-Inning Win Completely Overshadowed By A-Rod's Ongoing Homer Drought

Colorado Rockies' Carlos Gonzalez is congratulated by teammates after his walk-off home run against the Chicago Cubs in the ninth inning of a baseball game at Coors Field in Denver, Colo. on Saturday, July 31, 2010.  (AP Photo/ Matt McClain)

Carlos Gonzalez Completes Cycle With Walk-Off Homer; Rockies Beat Cubs, 6-5

More from SBNation.com >


Managers

Limes_125_small Sky Kalkman

Wbc_029_small Jeff Sullivan

Editors

Rawlings_baseball_bigger_small Dan Turkenkopf

Dayton_small Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal)

Aviles_small Justin Bopp

Paige_small Satchel Price

Authors

Jinaz-reds-avatar_small JinAZ

Face_small Harry Pavlidis

Newavatar_small Matt Klaassen

Wezenball-logo_small lar

Big_pun--300x300_small Tommy Rancel

Adam_small adarowski

Redcap_small SFiercex4

St_louis_cardinals_ce1141_003263_small stevesommer05

Small garik16

Julio_teheran_2_small PWHjort

Cclogo_small Daniel Moroz

Closeup4_small J-Doug

Nick_cage_small The DiaTriber