See the complete rankings below the jump!
"On Paper" Division Champions
American League: E=Yankees, C=White Sox, W=Angels, WC=Rays
National League: E=Phillies, C=Cardinals, W=Rockies*, WC=Dodgers
Converting Runs to Wins
Team | RS | eRS | RA | eRA | W% | pW% | cW% | LgAdj | TQI |
ARI | 686 | 689 | 745 | 677 | 0.432 | 0.461 | 0.508 | -20 | 0.481 |
ATL | 735 | 735 | 641 | 682 | 0.531 | 0.563 | 0.535 | -20 | 0.508 |
BAL | 734 | 716 | 867 | 856 | 0.395 | 0.420 | 0.415 | 20 | 0.439 |
BOS | 838 | 845 | 708 | 731 | 0.586 | 0.580 | 0.568 | 20 | 0.593 |
CHW | 696 | 685 | 704 | 682 | 0.488 | 0.495 | 0.502 | 20 | 0.529 |
CHC | 680 | 687 | 646 | 659 | 0.516 | 0.523 | 0.520 | -20 | 0.492 |
CIN | 660 | 642 | 709 | 730 | 0.481 | 0.467 | 0.441 | -20 | 0.414 |
CLE | 773 | 778 | 865 | 850 | 0.401 | 0.446 | 0.457 | 20 | 0.481 |
COL | 738 | 755 | 656 | 608 | 0.568 | 0.554 | 0.599 | -20 | 0.572 |
DET | 743 | 742 | 745 | 759 | 0.528 | 0.499 | 0.490 | 20 | 0.515 |
FLA | 788 | 794 | 782 | 785 | 0.537 | 0.504 | 0.505 | -20 | 0.481 |
HOU | 649 | 662 | 778 | 778 | 0.457 | 0.417 | 0.425 | -20 | 0.399 |
KCR | 686 | 667 | 842 | 793 | 0.401 | 0.404 | 0.419 | 20 | 0.445 |
LAA | 892 | 860 | 769 | 816 | 0.599 | 0.572 | 0.525 | 20 | 0.549 |
LAD | 796 | 798 | 623 | 654 | 0.586 | 0.612 | 0.593 | -20 | 0.567 |
MIL | 785 | 784 | 818 | 824 | 0.494 | 0.480 | 0.476 | -20 | 0.452 |
MIN | 817 | 817 | 765 | 816 | 0.534 | 0.532 | 0.500 | 20 | 0.524 |
NYY | 915 | 961 | 753 | 749 | 0.636 | 0.594 | 0.620 | 20 | 0.643 |
NYM | 671 | 697 | 757 | 776 | 0.432 | 0.444 | 0.450 | -20 | 0.424 |
OAK | 774 | 732 | 777 | 721 | 0.463 | 0.499 | 0.507 | 20 | 0.533 |
PHI | 804 | 803 | 695 | 722 | 0.574 | 0.568 | 0.550 | -20 | 0.525 |
PIT | 649 | 639 | 784 | 775 | 0.385 | 0.413 | 0.412 | -20 | 0.386 |
SDP | 693 | 694 | 836 | 811 | 0.463 | 0.412 | 0.427 | -20 | 0.402 |
SEA | 660 | 672 | 713 | 731 | 0.525 | 0.464 | 0.461 | 20 | 0.487 |
SFG | 650 | 610 | 605 | 652 | 0.543 | 0.533 | 0.470 | -20 | 0.441 |
STL | 745 | 745 | 653 | 683 | 0.562 | 0.561 | 0.541 | -20 | 0.514 |
TBR | 811 | 835 | 762 | 709 | 0.519 | 0.530 | 0.577 | 20 | 0.601 |
TEX | 761 | 728 | 718 | 704 | 0.537 | 0.527 | 0.516 | 20 | 0.543 |
TOR | 782 | 798 | 756 | 751 | 0.463 | 0.516 | 0.529 | 20 | 0.554 |
WSN | 703 | 728 | 865 | 875 | 0.364 | 0.402 | 0.412 | -20 | 0.388 |
Table Legend
RS = Actual Runs Scored, after a park adjustment
eRS = Estimated Runs Scored, after park adjustment (see "Offense" table below)
RA = Actual Runs Allowed, after a park adjustment
eRA = Estimated Runs Allowed, after park adjustments (see "Defense" table below)
W% = Actual Winning Percentage
pW% = PythagenPat Winning Percentage, based on actual runs scored and run allowed totals
cW% = Component Winning Percentage (previously eW%lg), using estimated runs scored and estimated runs allowed totals
LgAdj = League adjustment, based on differences in league quality (justification here and here).
TQI = Team Quality Index, a hypothetical winning % based on component estimates of runs scored and runs allowed after the league adjustment.
eRS = Estimated Runs Scored, after park adjustment (see "Offense" table below)
RA = Actual Runs Allowed, after a park adjustment
eRA = Estimated Runs Allowed, after park adjustments (see "Defense" table below)
W% = Actual Winning Percentage
pW% = PythagenPat Winning Percentage, based on actual runs scored and run allowed totals
cW% = Component Winning Percentage (previously eW%lg), using estimated runs scored and estimated runs allowed totals
LgAdj = League adjustment, based on differences in league quality (justification here and here).
TQI = Team Quality Index, a hypothetical winning % based on component estimates of runs scored and runs allowed after the league adjustment.
Team Offenses and Defenses
Team | RS | eRS | wOBA | OBP | SLG | wRC | EqBRR | Clutch | RA | eRA | ERA | FIP | tERA | tRuns | Field | Catch | BABIP | |
ARI | 686 | 689 | 0.318 | 0.324 | 0.418 | 696 | -7 | -34 | 745 | 677 | 4.44 | 4.13 | 3.95 | 686 | 20 | -11 | 0.308 | |
ATL | 735 | 735 | 0.326 | 0.339 | 0.405 | 751 | -16 | -29 | 641 | 682 | 3.57 | 3.63 | 3.84 | 674 | -13 | 4 | 0.307 | |
BAL | 734 | 716 | 0.324 | 0.332 | 0.415 | 737 | -22 | -22 | 867 | 856 | 5.16 | 4.94 | 4.80 | 823 | -36 | 3 | 0.314 | |
BOS | 838 | 845 | 0.346 | 0.352 | 0.454 | 845 | 0 | -28 | 708 | 731 | 4.35 | 4.26 | 4.02 | 692 | -30 | -9 | 0.320 | |
CHC | 680 | 687 | 0.318 | 0.332 | 0.407 | 701 | -14 | -46 | 646 | 659 | 3.84 | 3.99 | 3.81 | 661 | -5 | 7 | 0.294 | |
CHW | 696 | 685 | 0.320 | 0.329 | 0.411 | 694 | -9 | -19 | 704 | 682 | 4.16 | 4.02 | 3.80 | 655 | -21 | -6 | 0.301 | |
CIN | 660 | 642 | 0.311 | 0.318 | 0.394 | 651 | -9 | -19 | 709 | 730 | 4.18 | 4.50 | 4.51 | 789 | 46 | 13 | 0.288 | |
CLE | 773 | 778 | 0.334 | 0.339 | 0.417 | 781 | -3 | -40 | 865 | 850 | 5.07 | 4.81 | 4.76 | 819 | -33 | 2 | 0.312 | |
COL | 738 | 755 | 0.331 | 0.343 | 0.441 | 748 | 7 | -39 | 656 | 608 | 4.24 | 3.84 | 3.56 | 614 | 9 | -4 | 0.307 | |
DET | 743 | 742 | 0.329 | 0.331 | 0.416 | 746 | -3 | 11 | 745 | 759 | 4.34 | 4.54 | 4.60 | 798 | 25 | 14 | 0.298 | |
FLA | 788 | 794 | 0.337 | 0.340 | 0.416 | 793 | 1 | 15 | 782 | 785 | 4.32 | 4.17 | 4.38 | 760 | -23 | -3 | 0.309 | |
HOU | 649 | 662 | 0.318 | 0.319 | 0.400 | 662 | -1 | 29 | 778 | 778 | 4.54 | 4.24 | 4.41 | 756 | -25 | 4 | 0.318 | |
KCR | 686 | 667 | 0.318 | 0.318 | 0.405 | 676 | -9 | -21 | 842 | 793 | 4.82 | 4.50 | 4.20 | 719 | -58 | -16 | 0.315 | |
LAA | 892 | 860 | 0.349 | 0.350 | 0.441 | 859 | 1 | 26 | 769 | 816 | 4.45 | 4.53 | 4.65 | 806 | 0 | -10 | 0.307 | |
LAD | 796 | 798 | 0.336 | 0.346 | 0.412 | 803 | -5 | -26 | 623 | 654 | 3.41 | 3.73 | 3.82 | 675 | 25 | -3 | 0.283 | |
MIL | 785 | 784 | 0.335 | 0.341 | 0.426 | 794 | -9 | 16 | 818 | 824 | 4.84 | 4.78 | 4.74 | 815 | -4 | -5 | 0.305 | |
MIN | 817 | 817 | 0.340 | 0.344 | 0.429 | 813 | 4 | -22 | 765 | 816 | 4.50 | 4.51 | 4.50 | 784 | -31 | -1 | 0.308 | |
NYM | 671 | 697 | 0.322 | 0.335 | 0.394 | 695 | 2 | -9 | 757 | 776 | 4.46 | 4.46 | 4.40 | 752 | -31 | 8 | 0.302 | |
NYY | 915 | 961 | 0.363 | 0.362 | 0.478 | 967 | -6 | -4 | 753 | 749 | 4.28 | 4.34 | 4.32 | 752 | 5 | -3 | 0.299 | |
OAK | 774 | 732 | 0.327 | 0.328 | 0.397 | 720 | 12 | -31 | 777 | 721 | 4.29 | 4.18 | 4.09 | 710 | -17 | 6 | 0.310 | |
PHI | 804 | 803 | 0.338 | 0.334 | 0.447 | 802 | 0 | 27 | 695 | 722 | 4.16 | 4.24 | 4.31 | 752 | 28 | 3 | 0.304 | |
PIT | 649 | 639 | 0.314 | 0.318 | 0.387 | 647 | -8 | -18 | 784 | 775 | 4.59 | 4.59 | 4.60 | 782 | 14 | -6 | 0.303 | |
SDP | 693 | 694 | 0.322 | 0.321 | 0.381 | 701 | -6 | 30 | 836 | 811 | 4.37 | 4.42 | 4.63 | 805 | -7 | 1 | 0.302 | |
SEA | 660 | 672 | 0.319 | 0.314 | 0.402 | 674 | -2 | 25 | 713 | 731 | 3.87 | 4.48 | 4.66 | 811 | 73 | 7 | 0.280 | |
SFG | 650 | 610 | 0.308 | 0.309 | 0.389 | 600 | 10 | 29 | 605 | 652 | 3.55 | 3.93 | 4.00 | 693 | 46 | -6 | 0.289 | |
STL | 745 | 745 | 0.331 | 0.332 | 0.415 | 740 | 5 | 9 | 653 | 683 | 3.66 | 3.92 | 3.98 | 687 | -3 | 8 | 0.299 | |
TBR | 811 | 835 | 0.346 | 0.343 | 0.439 | 831 | 4 | -23 | 762 | 709 | 4.36 | 4.40 | 4.43 | 758 | 47 | 2 | 0.299 | |
TEX | 761 | 728 | 0.329 | 0.320 | 0.445 | 731 | -2 | -16 | 718 | 704 | 4.38 | 4.48 | 4.33 | 745 | 38 | 4 | 0.294 | |
TOR | 782 | 798 | 0.337 | 0.333 | 0.440 | 788 | 10 | -75 | 756 | 751 | 4.47 | 4.26 | 4.25 | 740 | -19 | 8 | 0.313 | |
WSN | 703 | 728 | 0.326 | 0.337 | 0.406 | 740 | -12 | -35 | 865 | 875 | 5.02 | 4.81 | 4.95 | 845 | -21 | -9 | 0.305 |
RS = Actual Runs Scored
eRS = Estimated Runs Scored: wRC + EqBRR
wOBA = The Book's statistic, but park adjusted, and using data from both wRC and EqBRR
OBP = On Base Percentage (times on base / PA)
SLG = Slugging Percentage (total bases / PA)
wRC = From FanGraphs, with baserunning removed, after park adjustments
EqBRR = Dan Fox's fielding composite fielding statistics from Baseball Prospectus
Clutch = "Clutchiness" measure from fangraphs; difference between actual WPA and expected WPA based on component statistics.
RA = Actual Runs Allowed, after park adjustment
eRA = Estimated Runs Allowed: tRuns - Field - Catch
ERA = Straight-up Earned Run Average
FIP = Fielding-Independent Runs, based strictly on K-, BB-, and HR-rates. I do park-adjust HR rates.
tERA = Estimated Earned Run Average, a home brew version of Graham McAree's statistic)
tRuns = Pitching Runs Allowed, based on tERA
Field = An average of bUZR from FanGraphs and THT's team fielding statistic (the latter is converted to runs).
Catch = Catcher Fielding Runs, based on SB's, CS's, WP's, PB's, and E's, described here.
BABIP = Straight-up Batting Average on Balls In Play.
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