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it looks pretty strange, huh? i see a lot of awkwardly played triples coming off it.

by APV on Jan 7, 2009 3:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think this went into their design process, but I like that as a nice home field advantage move. The guys that play there regularly are going to know how to play the wall. Visiting OFers will be at a decided disadvantage.

The immoderate moderator

by NYRoyal on Jan 7, 2009 5:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Shea was pretty unfriendly to hitters

Looks like Citi will be even moreso. Although we don’t know about the wind factors of the new stadium. But if I were Minaya, I’d start looking into more line drive hitters and fewer big fly power hitters.

The immoderate moderator

by NYRoyal on Jan 7, 2009 3:20 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Projecting Shea ..

… I have been hoping to publish this at Beyond the Box Score, but tables make it too big … working on getting it smaller. Here is a link to it on my blog.

I have a writeup on Citi towards the end of the article. Summary: Using regression, I was able to get a formula predicting park factors and it looks like Citi, do to its dimensions and foul territory, score ~10 runs less during a season.

I assumed same elevation (haven’t been able to find it for Citi and temperature (no games played).

by Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal) on Jan 7, 2009 3:39 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

As it is in the parking lot right beside Shea, it must have the same elevation and temperature. Of course you never know what a new park’s architecture will do to the wind effects.

The immoderate moderator

by NYRoyal on Jan 7, 2009 3:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

How many fewer runs does Shea cause over a season than the average park?

Both predicted by your model and actually, I suppose…

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on Jan 7, 2009 3:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

the elevation throughout queens

is pretty low. i would think you could find this on GoogleEarth pretty easily.

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Jan 7, 2009 7:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's crazy that you can predict that kinda stuff before a single game has been played there.

Freaking amazing. Good work.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jan 7, 2009 8:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Shea data

Using PF and an league run environment of 9.54 runs Shea scores 9.30 runs/game and predicts to score 9.43.

by Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal) on Jan 7, 2009 3:59 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Johan Cytana

King of the bling come to lay down the evidence//Not George Bush, L-Millz be da president

by Sam Page on Jan 7, 2009 5:17 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

L/R splits Question

It looks like it will play quite differently for lefties & righties. Is there a good source for breaking down park effects based on L/R splits for either pitchers or hitters? I can’t seem to find any info, but I know the analysis exists.

Go away! Guys, you're gonna wake up my Mom!

by David Howards Legacy on Jan 7, 2009 5:31 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

You find the splits ...

… figuring out how it plays won’t be too hard.

by Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal) on Jan 7, 2009 5:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Phillies

looks like they’re planning to play ryan howard and chase utley for a while with those dimensions.

by jamiethekiller on Jan 8, 2009 12:38 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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