Comments
Is there an explanation for the right field fence?
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
it looks pretty strange, huh? i see a lot of awkwardly played triples coming off it.
by APV on Jan 7, 2009 3:46 PM EST up reply actions
I don’t think this went into their design process, but I like that as a nice home field advantage move. The guys that play there regularly are going to know how to play the wall. Visiting OFers will be at a decided disadvantage.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 7, 2009 5:08 PM EST up reply actions
Shea was pretty unfriendly to hitters
Looks like Citi will be even moreso. Although we don’t know about the wind factors of the new stadium. But if I were Minaya, I’d start looking into more line drive hitters and fewer big fly power hitters.
The immoderate moderator
Projecting Shea ..
… I have been hoping to publish this at Beyond the Box Score, but tables make it too big … working on getting it smaller. Here is a link to it on my blog.
I have a writeup on Citi towards the end of the article. Summary: Using regression, I was able to get a formula predicting park factors and it looks like Citi, do to its dimensions and foul territory, score ~10 runs less during a season.
I assumed same elevation (haven’t been able to find it for Citi and temperature (no games played).
As it is in the parking lot right beside Shea, it must have the same elevation and temperature. Of course you never know what a new park’s architecture will do to the wind effects.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 7, 2009 3:45 PM EST up reply actions
How many fewer runs does Shea cause over a season than the average park?
Both predicted by your model and actually, I suppose…
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
the elevation throughout queens
is pretty low. i would think you could find this on GoogleEarth pretty easily.
"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon
That's crazy that you can predict that kinda stuff before a single game has been played there.
Freaking amazing. Good work.
Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/
Shea data
Using PF and an league run environment of 9.54 runs Shea scores 9.30 runs/game and predicts to score 9.43.
Johan Cytana
King of the bling come to lay down the evidence//Not George Bush, L-Millz be da president
Maybe Endy will get some more playing time this year!
Oh wait… nevermind.
by James Kannengieser on Jan 7, 2009 10:43 PM EST up reply actions
L/R splits Question
It looks like it will play quite differently for lefties & righties. Is there a good source for breaking down park effects based on L/R splits for either pitchers or hitters? I can’t seem to find any info, but I know the analysis exists.
Go away! Guys, you're gonna wake up my Mom!
by David Howards Legacy on Jan 7, 2009 5:31 PM EST reply actions
You find the splits ...
… figuring out how it plays won’t be too hard.
by Jeff Zimmerman on Jan 7, 2009 5:32 PM EST up reply actions
Phillies
looks like they’re planning to play ryan howard and chase utley for a while with those dimensions.

















