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Around SBN: 2011 In Extreme Home Runs

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it looks pretty strange, huh? i see a lot of awkwardly played triples coming off it.

by APV on Jan 7, 2009 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t think this went into their design process, but I like that as a nice home field advantage move. The guys that play there regularly are going to know how to play the wall. Visiting OFers will be at a decided disadvantage.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Jan 7, 2009 5:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Shea was pretty unfriendly to hitters

Looks like Citi will be even moreso. Although we don’t know about the wind factors of the new stadium. But if I were Minaya, I’d start looking into more line drive hitters and fewer big fly power hitters.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Jan 7, 2009 3:20 PM EST reply actions  

Projecting Shea ..

… I have been hoping to publish this at Beyond the Box Score, but tables make it too big … working on getting it smaller. Here is a link to it on my blog.

I have a writeup on Citi towards the end of the article. Summary: Using regression, I was able to get a formula predicting park factors and it looks like Citi, do to its dimensions and foul territory, score ~10 runs less during a season.

I assumed same elevation (haven’t been able to find it for Citi and temperature (no games played).

by Jeff Zimmerman on Jan 7, 2009 3:39 PM EST reply actions  

As it is in the parking lot right beside Shea, it must have the same elevation and temperature. Of course you never know what a new park’s architecture will do to the wind effects.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Jan 7, 2009 3:45 PM EST up reply actions  

How many fewer runs does Shea cause over a season than the average park?

Both predicted by your model and actually, I suppose…

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on Jan 7, 2009 3:49 PM EST up reply actions  

the elevation throughout queens

is pretty low. i would think you could find this on GoogleEarth pretty easily.

"The NY Mets are my favorite squadron" -- Apu Nahasapeemapetilon

by jessef on Jan 7, 2009 7:05 PM EST up reply actions  

That's crazy that you can predict that kinda stuff before a single game has been played there.

Freaking amazing. Good work.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bdalebs on Jan 7, 2009 8:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Shea data

Using PF and an league run environment of 9.54 runs Shea scores 9.30 runs/game and predicts to score 9.43.

by Jeff Zimmerman on Jan 7, 2009 3:59 PM EST reply actions  

Johan Cytana

King of the bling come to lay down the evidence//Not George Bush, L-Millz be da president

by Sam Page on Jan 7, 2009 5:17 PM EST reply actions  

L/R splits Question

It looks like it will play quite differently for lefties & righties. Is there a good source for breaking down park effects based on L/R splits for either pitchers or hitters? I can’t seem to find any info, but I know the analysis exists.

Go away! Guys, you're gonna wake up my Mom!

by David Howards Legacy on Jan 7, 2009 5:31 PM EST reply actions  

You find the splits ...

… figuring out how it plays won’t be too hard.

by Jeff Zimmerman on Jan 7, 2009 5:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Phillies

looks like they’re planning to play ryan howard and chase utley for a while with those dimensions.

by jamiethekiller on Jan 8, 2009 12:38 AM EST reply actions  

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