Okay... this is probably easier than I think and I just suck at math, or I'm so bad at math that it's a lot more complicated than I think it should be... Basically, I'm trying to figure out how using something relatively straightforward in Excel like BINOMDIST, how, given a player's wOBA, we can figure out, over a certain number of PAs (say, 700), what the player's chances of having a better or worse wOBA than his expected. Actually, I'm trying to do this with respect to wRAA, so that I can figure out the odds of a player "hitting well enough" to play position x, say, 1B (+12.5). The problem of negative numbers might come up... I dunno. Lil' help?