A-Rod's last 5 years

Hey guys. I was looking at some stuff today and came across the stat lines for Alex Rodriguez for the last several seasons. It is very interesting that at 32 he is starting to have high swings of variability after putting up consistent numbers year after year. Now, of course a down year for A-Rod still leaves him in MVP contention, but it is interesting that his numbers are fluctuating so much from year to year. This could be something that gets expounded going forward making it much harder to predict how/when he is going to be assaulting the record books.

I wanted to get your guys thoughts on this. Do you think the up year/down year pattern will continue? Will it become more exaggerated? Is this typical of guys exiting their "prime years"? Shoot me an e-mail if you have any questions.

9 months ago Sandy Kazmir Comment 5 comments 0 recs |

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Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.

by Sandy Kazmir on Sep 19, 2008 11:12 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

I think it's more random occurrence than anything.

The impressive thing is that his down years are still better than most of the league’s up years.

by R.J. Anderson on Sep 19, 2008 2:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

I agree

There are other factors to consider too like performance of his teammates, his health, and the overall quality of the league in general. Heck, even schedule can have an impact if the NL East is really strong one year but not so the next. I see some variance but ultimately I don’t think it’s statistically significant…but that’s my feel just looking at the data…I haven’t run any test to prove that.

Peace, love, and hair grease,
Smitty

by smittyredbirdsfan on Oct 4, 2008 5:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

well this could be wrong

but 2004 was his first year in NY which was a real struggle
2005 was his 2nd year in NY and went much better obviously
2006 was the year he started getting booed because he had a horrible 2005 postseason (his 2004 was actually good, but the loss to the redsox was a tough one obviously)
2007 he had those “clutch walk off hits” early in the year and the fans got behind him again.

So i think some of this has had to do with the pressure etc. of NY.

However, Arods Home/Road splits have seriously favored Yankee stadium, so if the fans booing him was having a negative effect on him then he wouldn’t perform better at home then on the road.

But i do think that 2004 was an adjustment year… 07 was other worldly and you just dont get back to back years like that…

Keep in mind arod missed 3 weeks , and only played in 138 games

If you prorate his numbers to the 158 he had last year he would’ve had a line similar to this .302 40 hr 118 rbis 120 runs 21 steals

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by jbluestone on Oct 7, 2008 8:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

I think my biggest question

was the variability in his slugging over the last few years. I think you cleared some of that up, but for the most part he had a consistent slg and the last few years it has started to fluctuate.

Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter, and those who matter don't mind.

by Sandy Kazmir on Oct 10, 2008 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs