Beyond the Box Score: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:



Around SBN: Brad Ziegler Diaries Bar-right-arrows



Probables: Grady Sizemore

As baseball fans, we always love to hear the comparisons between past, present, and in some cases future major leaguers. It's part of the reason PECOTA is so popular, along with it's accuracy of predicting future seasons. For that reason I'd like to present "Probables", an "all-in-one" look at a certain player's short term future predictions, and what better way to lead it off but by taking a look at one of the best leadoff hitters in the league, Grady Sizemore.

 

Star-divide

 

Please do note that I'm looking for the closest match that shares the position, in some cases just OF or just MI/CI.

PECOTA: Ray Lankford

Bill James Similarity Score (by age): Duke Snider

Lahman Database match: Reggie Sanders

SaberScouting comparison: Marquis Grissom

What we'll attempt to do with our set of comparisons is see what Sizemore could do in the next few seasons. 

At the age of 25 though, the fact is that Sizemore is the best player of the bunch, even better than Snider, and to be fair Sizemore has been in the majors longer than all of the players were except for Snider. Here's how each player progressed from ages 25 to 27.

Sizemore_medium

Realistically looking at Sizemore's next three seasons  I think we can eliminate a Snider like power onset as well as Grissom's stolen base totals, leaving us to choose between Sanders and Lankford. A run of 20/20 seasons with a possible 30/30 season doesn't seem too far out of reach for Sizemore who hit 28 homeruns just two seasons ago and stole 33 bases last season.

If Sizemore's career continues on the Sanders/Lankford path he could end up with a career OPS+ around the 120 mark, a decrease from his current mark.

0 recs | Comment 1 comments

Read Related

Story-email Email | Print |

Comments

Display:

Interesting, but it might help if you posted Sizemore's numbers as well.

by Jay on Apr 14, 2008 5:19 PM EDT   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Major League Baseball.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Bb4_small
Tim Lincecum vs. Felix Hernandez
Small
Giants: 100+ innings without a home run
Avatar_small
Collecting Pitch F/X data
Thefantasysportsforum_logo_small
All-Star Snubs & Flubs
Dsc00073_small
Pitches Towards Outs
Chop_small
Talk About a Tough Luck Loss
Small
The Real Town Hall
Small
Just Watch the Game
Nolan30ryan_small
Who is MLB's Model Franchise?
Dsc00073_small
RLOB, OPS and RS

Post_icon New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini


Managers

Maddonbearlo3_small R.J. Anderson

Pronk_small Peter Bendix

Editors

Small Dan Turkenkopf

ad

Site Meter