NL Lineups by WAR

by JI on Dec 27, 2008 12:33 AM EST

Same disclaimers as last time, only now we're looking at the superior league.

NL EAST

PHI, 22.81, ATL 21.49, NYM 21.30, FLA 18.72, WAS 16.72

NL CENTRAL

CHC 22.24, STL 21.49, MIL19.87, CIN 18.64, HOU 13.99, PIT 13.21

NL WEST

COL 18.39, SF 17.25, LA 17.18, AZ 15.28, SD 13.06

Random stuff:

-Ryan Howard was roughly the sixth best position player on the Phillies last year. I'd bet even money that he'll bounce back and be at least half as good as Chase Utley in 2009.

-The Cubs are annoying

-Aaron Boone is bad at baseball

-Brad Hawpe was easily my favorite player to project

-Bocock! was the first

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Comments

What do the lineups average out to?

Given an average of 81 team wins and a replacement-level team winning 48 games, there’s on average 33 WAR to hand out to a team.

I’m actually a bit confused right here… how much of that goes to position players?

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on Dec 27, 2008 2:54 PM EST reply actions

It averages out to 18.23

and I thought it was a bit high myself…it could be a bug in the spreadsheet (as the AL teams average is almost a win less) So either the Marcel’s projection are very optimistic for the NL, and the league average needs to be adjusted, or there’s a bit of pilot error ( a real possibility), or something else entirely.

by JI on Dec 27, 2008 3:52 PM EST up reply actions

Actually, i think it should be about 19 and 14.

At least that’s what I get it if I plug average hitters and pitchers into my own spreadsheet.

Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.

by Sky Kalkman on Dec 28, 2008 7:39 PM EST up reply actions

Again the Dodgers projection's are off

Compared to Xeifrank’s Dodger projections at least, not sure if you guys used different projections. But he has the Dodgers position players worth 14.74 wins, whereas here they are worth 17.18 wins.

by Brendan Scolari on Dec 27, 2008 4:36 PM EST reply actions

He may have used a different projection system, evaluated defense and/or playing time differently etc.

I wouldn’t take any on these projections as textbook unless they are being done by a professional.

by JI on Dec 27, 2008 4:40 PM EST up reply actions

Ok thanks

I still think the pitching math is incorrect though, as I posted on the Astros projections

by Brendan Scolari on Dec 27, 2008 4:44 PM EST up reply actions

he’s got his own projection system.

We don't really have that much pitching depth. We don't really have that much pitching depth. FOR GOD SAKE, VERUCA, DON'T GO FAKE TRADING JONATHAN SANCHEZ. We don't really have that much pitching depth

by oldjacket on Dec 28, 2008 4:53 PM EST up reply actions