Bendix's Insanely Good xBABIP Piece

Now for him to spill the beans on it.

11 months ago R.J. Anderson 23 comments 0 recs |

Comments

Awesome. I posted a link at McC as well.

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Dec 2, 2008 2:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

This is great stuff

Just to clarify one thing that is a bit unclear: Is it the case that hitting large numbers of grounders increases BABIP and large numbers of flies decreases BABIP?

It makes sense, I’m just not sure I’m reading the description of the variable correctly.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Dec 2, 2008 2:26 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

That's correct.

That actually follows from what we already know about pitchers and BABIP: namely, that fly ball pitchers tend to have lower BABIP than ground ball pitchers.

by Peter Bendix on Dec 2, 2008 4:44 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Why does this whiff on Jason Bay so consistently?

The Denker bus is now bound for San Diego. Those who were passengers on it are now angrily stranded at a gas station in Modesto, CA. Not much about baseball here .

by oldjacket on Dec 2, 2008 2:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

That's an interesting question.

As I see it, there are two possible explanations:

1) Jason Bay does something else that we didn’t account for, or

2) Bay has simply rather consistently lucky. That’s not as silly as it sounds: sure, the odds of one player consistently exceeding expectations due to luck are remote, but the odds of it happening to someone are much higher. Why not Bay?

by Peter Bendix on Dec 2, 2008 4:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

There are a few others, but I’m not sure how many would constitute more than would be expected. It misses pretty consistently on Jason Giambi, and theidea that immediately leaps reason is that the speed score you are using may not be sensitive enough at the bottom of it’s scale to correctly gauge how slow that slow-ass bastard is. He may be even slower than the typical player who doesn’t hit triples, steal bases or catch balls hit near him.

The Denker bus is now bound for San Diego. Those who were passengers on it are now angrily stranded at a gas station in Modesto, CA. Not much about baseball here .

by oldjacket on Dec 2, 2008 10:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

that should read “the idea that immediately leaps to mind”

typing in class. peh.

The Denker bus is now bound for San Diego. Those who were passengers on it are now angrily stranded at a gas station in Modesto, CA. Not much about baseball here .

by oldjacket on Dec 2, 2008 10:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs