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Burnett to the Bronx

5 years 82.5 million That's paying for 3.3 WAR.It's a pretty good deal for the Yankees

The last three seasons Burnett has thrown 135.6, 165.6, and 221.3 innings with FIPs of 3.79, 4.33, and 3.45. On January 3rd he'll turn 32, and while he does have a history of injuries he's still been pretty valuable to his teams. During the Jays part of his career Burnett was worth 30, 26, and 57 non-leverage runs saved, an average of 38 runs per season, or 3.8 WAR. Even if he immediately starts slipping 0.3 WAR per season, he'll be worth 14.3 WAR over the life of the contract and 86 million.

If Burnett can stay relatively healthy, the Yankees are going to look pretty at the end of this contract, and even if he doesn't there's a good chance this thing turns out okay.

Love them or hate them, the Yankees are taking advantage of a buyers market.

0 recs  |  Comment 9 comments

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Woohoo

This Yankees fan has been pretty happy with the signings so far. It would be nice if Tex were to follow.

Purely from a fan standpoint of course, not from the earning the hatred of baseball fans everywhere.

by Dan Turkenkopf on Dec 12, 2008 9:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

T-man, Manny unlikely

to show up in the Bronx, unless the payroll is going to > $210.

I’m curious what Takashi Saito’s fate will be….

by gozerthegozerian on Dec 12, 2008 9:43 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

yuck

somehow , i think your statistical projection is wayyyy too optimistic.

The Yankee fans better hope they have a deeper pocket then perceived and also land Teixeira or something. otherwise I’m getting a bad feeling about this.

by RollingWave on Dec 13, 2008 5:11 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Defense

is the main thing I’m worried about. Even though Burnett is a strikeout pitcher, moving from the Toronto defense to the Yankee defense can’t help.

by Dan Turkenkopf on Dec 13, 2008 11:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

True, but

getting rid of Giambi and Abreu takes them from unbelievably bad to just bad. And the Rogers Center inflates HR by 20% while the turf may have had an effect on Burnett’s poor BABIP

by Toneystarks on Dec 16, 2008 12:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

How quaint

the Yankees wait years to exfoliate overpaid burdens only to put a huge bulk of it back into two starting pitchers, one of which is a constant injury risk, and outbidding the next team by a comfortable margin. Like father like sons, I guess.

by Daniel Berlyn on Dec 13, 2008 10:16 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Biased but

I am not too sure about your analysis Burnett has a career average of 137.6 innings a year. He is now 31 years old and just came off of a full season. I see him having 1 or 2 years that he gets above 140 innings in a year.

by drabidea on Dec 14, 2008 3:32 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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