2008 1B Defense By PMR

Team: PMR / RAA | 1B: PMR / RAA | 2B: PMRRAA | 3B: PMRRAA | SS: PMR / RAA | LF: PMR / RAA | CF: PMR / RAA | RF: PMR / RAA | C: PMR / RAA

Each season, David Pinto releases his Probablistic Measure of Range (PMR) ratings based on play-by-play data from Baseball Info Solutions.  PMR measures how many plays above or below expected each team or player made based on batted ball characteristics like velocity and location. Here at Beyond the Box Score, we're translating the play numbers into runs (following a method developed by LA Black Hawk of Waterloo).  More information can be found in this post.

This entry, we look at first basemen  - first on the team level and then for individuals.

 

Team In Play Actual Outs Predicted Outs Outs Delta Runs Delta Runs / 4000 RAA / 4000
Cardinals 4597 363 330.17 32.83 26.1999815 22.8 22.63
Rays 4264 337 309.47 27.53 21.9703165 20.61 20.44
Astros 4292 352 334.44 17.56 14.013758 13.06 12.89
Angels 4374 348 332.57 15.43 12.3139115 11.26 11.09
Reds 4299 340 326.62 13.38 10.677909 9.94 9.77
Orioles 4540 330 317.28 12.72 10.151196 8.94 8.77
Giants 4232 306 298.46 7.54 6.017297 5.69 5.52
Braves 4383 309 301.26 7.74 6.176907 5.64 5.47
Mariners 4512 312 305.65 6.35 5.0676175 4.49 4.32
Padres 4419 314 308.13 5.87 4.6845535 4.24 4.07
Cubs 4156 339 334.4 4.6 3.67103 3.53 3.36
Athletics 4285 287 282.84 4.16 3.319888 3.1 2.93
Mets 4335 323 319.48 3.52 2.809136 2.59 2.42
Pirates 4683 293 290.12 2.88 2.298384 1.96 1.79
White Sox 4409 295 292.85 2.15 1.7158075 1.56 1.39
Red Sox 4232 300 298.07 1.93 1.5402365 1.46 1.29
Blue Jays 4215 346 345.24 0.76 0.606518 0.58 0.41
Rangers 4667 292 292.72 -0.72 -0.574596 -0.49 -0.66
Dodgers 4265 288 290 -2 -1.5961 -1.5 -1.67
Rockies 4535 311 318.74 -7.74 -6.176907 -5.45 -5.62
Tigers 4536 258 267.9 -9.9 -7.900695 -6.97 -7.14
Phillies 4396 335 345.93 -10.93 -8.7226865 -7.94 -8.11
Royals 4413 270 282.47 -12.47 -9.9516835 -9.02 -9.19
Brewers 4354 299 311.39 -12.39 -9.8878395 -9.08 -9.25
Nationals 4417 279 292.73 -13.73 -10.957227 -9.92 -10.09
Indians 4513 276 290.25 -14.25 -11.372213 -10.08 -10.25
Yankees 4349 270 286.22 -16.22 -12.944371 -11.91 -12.08
Marlins 4338 296 314.6 -18.6 -14.84373 -13.69 -13.86
Diamondbacks 4224 292 311.45 -19.45 -15.522073 -14.7 -14.87
Twins 4607 262 283.33 -21.33 -17.022407 -14.78 -14.95

 

Player In Play Actual Outs Predicted Outs Outs Delta Runs Delta Runs / 4000

RAA

/ 4000

Albert Pujols 3833 310 275.7 34.3 27.373115 28.57 28.4
Carlos Pena 3428 272 250.39 21.61 17.2458605 20.12 19.95
Lance Berkman 3899 329 309.21 19.79 15.7934095 16.2 16.03
Mark Teixeira 4009 322 302.91 19.09 15.2347745 15.2 15.03
Rich Aurillia 1398 94 88.21 5.79 4.6207095 13.22 13.05
Joey Votto 3686 300 285.79 14.21 11.3402905 12.31 12.14
Kevin Millar 3607 264 250.96 13.04 10.406572 11.54 11.37
Todd Helton 2272 165 158.79 6.21 4.9558905 8.73 8.56
Casey Kotchman 3659 268 259.14 8.86 7.070723 7.73 7.56
Kevin Youkilis 2835 212 206.26 5.74 4.580807 6.46 6.29
Paul Konerko 3069 214 207.95 6.05 4.8282025 6.29 6.12
Derrek Lee 3848 322 315.59 6.41 5.1155005 5.32 5.15
Adrian Gonzalez 4302 307 300.33 6.67 5.3229935 4.95 4.78
Daric Barton 3322 211 207.92 3.08 2.457994 2.96 2.79
Carlos Delgado 4088 306 305.6 0.4 0.31922 0.31 0.14
Lyle Overbay 3919 330 329.98 0.02 0.015961 0.02 -0.15
James Loney 4023 267 267.57 -0.57 -0.4548885 -0.45 -0.62
Chris Davis 1295 81 81.23 -0.23 -0.1835515 -0.57 -0.74
Adam LaRoche 3647 224 226.6 -2.6 -2.07493 -2.28 -2.45
Miguel Cairo 1223 84 84.91 -0.91 -0.7262255 -2.38 -2.55
Aaron Boone 1040 61 62.74 -1.74 -1.388607 -5.34 -5.51
Richie Sexson 2103 133 137.24 -4.24 -3.383732 -6.44 -6.61
Nick Swisher 1340 81 84.91 -3.91 -3.1203755 -9.31 -9.48
Ross Gload 2727 163 171.75 -8.75 -6.9829375 -10.24 -10.41
Prince Fielder 4133 280 293.92 -13.92 -11.108856 -10.75 -10.92
Ryan Howard 4254 322 336.79 -14.79 -11.80316 -11.1 -11.27
Miguel Cabrera 3772 220 234.22 -14.22 -11.348271 -12.03 -12.2
Chad Tracy 1496 110 115.89 -5.89 -4.7005145 -12.57 -12.74
Ryan Garko 3323 198 211.16 -13.16 -10.502338 -12.64 -12.81
John Bowker 1607 104 110.6 -6.6 -5.26713 -13.11 -13.28
Jason Giambi 2795 164 177.51 -13.51 -10.781656 -15.43 -15.6
Sean Casey 1042 65 70.15 -5.15 -4.1099575 -15.78 -15.95
Conor Jackson 1696 109 117.4 -8.4 -6.70362 -15.81 -15.98
Justin Morneau 4289 242 264.41 -22.41 -17.884301 -16.68 -16.85
Garrett Atkins 1638 101 110.77 -9.77 -7.7969485 -19.04 -19.21
Mike Jacobs 2860 175 194.95 -19.95 -15.921098 -22.27 -22.44

Is there any thing Albert Pujols can't do?  Cure cancer?  Acheive world peace?  Just wait till he puts his mind to those tasks.  Not content with being the best offensive player in the league, he's also one of the top defensive players relative to position in the majors.  Actually, the top 4 first basemen in fielding are also quite good offensively.  That probably speaks to the relative defensive ease of first base, but it's a very different situation from any other position.

While Justin Morneau might have a good case offensively for his second MVP, his defensive performance should disqualify him from consideration. Yet again, a Pujols versus Howard duel for MVP awaits in the NL.  This one really should be a blowout for Pujols since there was close to a 4 win difference just on defense, but I'm not holding my breath for the BBWAA to take that into consideration.

Even though Nick Swisher was almost 10 runs below average, the Yankees would still have gained .6 wins on defense had he been their first baseman instead of Jason Giambi.  I'm surprised Sean Casey ranked so poorly. Hopefully he's not done at 33, since he's reportedly one of the nicest guys in the game.  And the Royals better be considering Mike Jacobs a DH, not a first baseman, since he makes Ross Gload look like a Gold Glover.

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