2008 RF Defense By PMR

Team: PMR / RAA | 1B: PMR / RAA | 2B: PMRRAA | 3B: PMRRAAA | SS: PMR / RAA | LF: PMR / RAA | CF: PMR / RAA | RF: PMR / RAA

Each season, David Pinto releases his Probablistic Measure of Range (PMR) ratings based on play-by-play data from Baseball Info Solutions.  PMR measures how many plays above or below expected each team or player made based on batted ball characteristics like velocity and location. Here at Beyond the Box Score, we're translating the play numbers into runs (following a method developed by LA Black Hawk of Waterloo).  More information can be found in this post.

Today, we look at right fielders  - first on the team level and then for individuals.

 

Team In Play Actual Outs Predicted Outs Outs Delta Runs Delta Runs / 4000 RAA / 4000
Twins 4607 397 374.04 22.96 19.35528 16.81 16.81
Giants 4232 392 372.99 19.01 16.02543 15.15 15.15
Blue Jays 4215 303 286.97 16.03 13.51329 12.82 12.82
Indians 4513 374 358.85 15.15 12.77145 11.32 11.32
Padres 4419 339 329.6 9.4 7.9242 7.17 7.17
Phillies 4396 318 310.41 7.59 6.39837 5.82 5.82
Red Sox 4232 325 318.64 6.36 5.36148 5.07 5.07
Rangers 4667 382 375.27 6.73 5.67339 4.86 4.86
Nationals 4417 353 346.81 6.19 5.21817 4.73 4.73
Braves 4383 313 307.02 5.98 5.04114 4.6 4.6
Marlins 4338 345 340.25 4.75 4.00425 3.69 3.69
Cubs 4156 333 329.14 3.86 3.25398 3.13 3.13
Cardinals 4597 362 360.58 1.42 1.19706 1.04 1.04
Diamondbacks 4224 269 268.33 0.67 0.56481 0.53 0.53
Athletics 4285 377 376.5 0.5 0.4215 0.39 0.39
Mariners 4512 309 310.73 -1.73 -1.45839 -1.29 -1.29
Dodgers 4265 278 279.64 -1.64 -1.38252 -1.3 -1.3
Brewers 4354 316 318.38 -2.38 -2.00634 -1.84 -1.84
Royals 4413 334 336.94 -2.94 -2.47842 -2.25 -2.25
Pirates 4683 386 389.32 -3.32 -2.79876 -2.39 -2.39
Orioles 4540 338 341.58 -3.58 -3.01794 -2.66 -2.66
Mets 4335 356 360.14 -4.14 -3.49002 -3.22 -3.22
Astros 4292 357 365.06 -8.06 -6.79458 -6.33 -6.33
Tigers 4536 301 311.48 -10.48 -8.83464 -7.79 -7.79
Rays 4264 345 354.99 -9.99 -8.42157 -7.9 -7.9
Reds 4299 327 338.05 -11.05 -9.31515 -8.67 -8.67
White Sox 4409 296 308.31 -12.31 -10.37733 -9.41 -9.41
Angels 4374 308 322.64 -14.64 -12.34152 -11.29 -11.29
Yankees 4349 301 316.77 -15.77 -13.29411 -12.23 -12.23
Rockies 4535 249 273.59 -24.59 -20.72937 -18.28 -18.28

 

Team In Play Actual Outs Predicted Outs Outs Delta Runs Delta Runs / 4000

RAA

/ 4000

Denard Span 2099 192 176.27 15.73 13.26039 25.27 25.27
Franklin Gutierrez 2400 224 207.25 16.75 14.12025 23.53 23.53
Alex Rios 2373 170 156.05 13.95 11.75985 19.82 19.82
Randy Winn 3247 309 291.22 17.78 14.98854 18.46 18.46
Jayson Werth 1964 143 133.49 9.51 8.01693 16.33 16.33
Endy Chavez 1176 109 103.84 5.16 4.34988 14.8 14.8
Matt Kemp 1391 97 91.48 5.52 4.65336 13.38 13.38
Austin Kearns 2268 187 179.28 7.72 6.50796 11.48 11.48
Michael Cuddyer 1640 123 118.33 4.67 3.93681 9.6 9.6
Justin Upton 2531 175 168.66 6.34 5.34462 8.45 8.45
Kosuke Fukudome 3164 246 240.12 5.88 4.95684 6.27 6.27
Ryan Sweeney 1462 136 133.41 2.59 2.18337 5.97 5.97
David Murphy 1279 107 104.84 2.16 1.82088 5.69 5.69
Jeff Francouer 4016 284 278.05 5.95 5.01585 5 5
Mark Teahen 2292 185 181.68 3.32 2.79876 4.88 4.88
Ichiro Suzuki 2491 176 172.83 3.17 2.67231 4.29 4.29
Brian Giles 3845 276 271.51 4.49 3.78507 3.94 3.94
Jeremy Hermida 3310 266 263.1 2.9 2.4447 2.95 2.95
J.D. Drew 2658 184 183.15 0.85 0.71655 1.08 1.08
Gabe Gross 2225 186 185.51 0.49 0.41307 0.74 0.74
Nick Markakis 4353 329 328.98 0.02 0.01686 0.02 0.02
Corey Hart 4134 304 305.57 -1.57 -1.32351 -1.28 -1.28
Brad Wilkerson 1428 95 95.58 -0.58 -0.48894 -1.37 -1.37
Ryan Church 2158 180 181.26 -1.26 -1.06218 -1.97 -1.97
Geoff Jenkins 1974 141 142.41 -1.41 -1.18863 -2.41 -2.41
Elijah Dukes 1840 137 138.55 -1.55 -1.30665 -2.84 -2.84
Shin-Soo Choo 1255 89 90.51 -1.51 -1.27293 -4.06 -4.06
Hunter Pence 4112 341 349.04 -8.04 -6.77772 -6.59 -6.59
Jose Guillen 1673 121 124.68 -3.68 -3.10224 -7.42 -7.42
Andre Ethier 2620 171 176.94 -5.94 -5.00742 -7.64 -7.64
Emil Brown 1264 112 114.89 -2.89 -2.43627 -7.71 -7.71
Jay Bruce 1777 143 147.07 -4.07 -3.43101 -7.72 -7.72
Vladimir Guerrero 2541 180 186.37 -6.37 -5.36991 -8.45 -8.45
Magglio Ordonez 3588 220 229.25 -9.25 -7.79775 -8.69 -8.69
Ryan Ludwick 3037 232 240.07 -8.07 -6.80301 -8.96 -8.96
Jermaine Dye 3981 266 277.6 -11.6 -9.7788 -9.83 -9.83
Xavier Nady 2497 199 207.14 -8.14 -6.86202 -10.99 -10.99
Bobby Abreu 3933 271 284.58 -13.58 -11.44794 -11.64 -11.64
Ken Griffey Jr. 2257 157 166.16 -9.16 -7.72188 -13.69 -13.69
Eric Hinske 1001 88 92.73 -4.73 -3.98739 -15.93 -15.93
Gary Matthews Jr. 1013 77 82.08 -5.08 -4.28244 -16.91 -16.91
Brad Hawpe 3645 188 213.67 -25.67 -21.63981 -23.75 -23.75

Another position where the Blue Jays rank near the top, largely because of Alex Rios.  Ichiro rated better as CF than a RF.  A commenter at Baseball Musings suggests that might be because in CF he shades left to cover for Ibanez and therefore catches lower probability balls.  Bobby Abreu wasn't just scared of walls this season, he was genuinely bad.  It's sad to see how far Ken Griffey Jr. has fallen.  He's at the point where he should only be a full time DH.  Little Sarge has to be a disappointment to the Angels (although a thoroughly unsurprising one).

Jayson Werth was very, very good for the Phils in limited time in right.  Justin Upton didn't do nearly as well as his brother, but he scored +7 for the Diamondbacks. Even though Jeff Francouer couldn't hit or draw a walk this year, he did manage to contribute on defense.  The Cards add a pretty poor right fielder to their collection of poor center fielders.  At least they all had good seasons at the plate.  And Brad Hawpe rates horribly for the Rockies.  As a tease for later, they're pretty bad in LF too.  I wonder if that's talent or some fluke of Coors.

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