2008 3B Defense by PMR

Team: PMR / RAA | 1B: PMR / RAA | 2B: PMRRAA | 3B: PMR / RAA | SS: PMR / RAA | LF: PMR / RAA | CF: PMR / RAA | RF: PMR / RAA

Each season, David Pinto releases his Probablistic Measure of Range (PMR) ratings based on play-by-play data from Baseball Info Solutions.  PMR measures how many plays above or below expected each team or player made based on batted ball characteristics like velocity and location. Here at Beyond the Box Score, we're translating the play numbers into runs (following a method developed by LA Black Hawk of Waterloo).  More information can be found in this post.

Today, we look at third basemen  - first on the team level and then for individuals.

 

Team In Play Actual Outs Predicted Outs Outs Delta Runs Delta Runs / 4000 RAA / 4000
Blue Jays 4215 415 392.25 22.75 18.205005 17.28 17.24
Mariners 4512 403 384.91 18.09 14.4759798 12.83 12.79
Red Sox 4232 440 423.21 16.79 13.4356938 12.7 12.66
Dodgers 4265 427 411.45 15.55 12.443421 11.67 11.63
Angels 4374 391 377.04 13.96 11.1710712 10.22 10.18
Rays 4264 420 406.66 13.34 10.6749348 10.01 9.97
Braves 4383 404 390.88 13.12 10.4988864 9.58 9.54
Tigers 4536 471 458.72 12.28 9.8267016 8.67 8.63
Brewers 4354 396 387.21 8.79 7.0339338 6.46 6.42
White Sox 4409 463 455.46 7.54 6.0336588 5.47 5.43
Padres 4419 382 376.01 5.99 4.7933178 4.34 4.3
Astros 4292 408 402.2 5.8 4.641276 4.33 4.29
Athletics 4285 385 380.25 4.75 3.801045 3.55 3.51
Pirates 4683 445 442.19 2.81 2.2486182 1.92 1.88
Rockies 4535 412 410.31 1.69 1.3523718 1.19 1.15
Nationals 4417 416 415.43 0.57 0.4561254 0.41 0.37
Yankees 4346 379 378.81 0.19 0.1520418 0.14 0.1
Cubs 4156 341 342.34 -1.34 -1.0722948 -1.03 -1.07
Mets 4335 374 376.09 -2.09 -1.6724598 -1.54 -1.58
Indians 4513 419 423.48 -4.48 -3.5849856 -3.18 -3.22
Marlins 4338 370 375.82 -5.82 -4.6572804 -4.29 -4.33
Royals 4413 375 386.63 -11.63 -9.3065586 -8.44 -8.48
Rangers 4667 372 386.02 -14.02 -11.219084 -9.62 -9.66
Phillies 4396 411 425.13 -14.13 -11.307109 -10.29 -10.33
Diamondbacks 4224 350 363.76 -13.76 -11.011027 -10.43 -10.47
Twins 4607 382 397.09 -15.09 -12.07532 -10.48 -10.52
Cardinals 4597 416 432.51 -16.51 -13.211632 -11.5 -11.54
Giants 4232 338 356.28 -18.28 -14.628022 -13.83 -13.87
Reds 4299 337 356.45 -19.45 -15.564279 -14.48 -14.52
Orioles 4540 421 446.86 -25.86 -20.693689 -18.23 -18.27

 

Team In Play Actual Outs Predicted Outs Outs Delta Runs Delta Runs / 4000

RAA /

4000

Chone Figgins 2787 249 230.03 18.97 15.1801734 21.79 21.75
Andy Marte 1849 185 173.47 11.53 9.2265366 19.96 19.92
Evan Longoria 3059 304 286.97 17.03 13.6277466 17.82 17.78
Ian Stewart 1651 160 151.25 8.75 7.001925 16.96 16.92
Carlos Guillen 2396 246 233.91 12.09 9.6746598 16.15 16.11
Mike Lowell 2717 279 266.51 12.49 9.9947478 14.71 14.67
Blake DeWitt 2152 233 223.28 9.72 7.7781384 14.46 14.42
Geoff Blum 1773 179 171 8 6.40176 14.44 14.4
Jack Hannahan 2882 267 254.14 12.86 10.2908292 14.28 14.24
Adrian Beltre 3804 338 321.08 16.92 13.5397224 14.24 14.2
Joe Crede 2492 251 242.47 8.53 6.8258766 10.96 10.92
Bill Hall 2709 238 229.92 8.08 6.4657776 9.55 9.51
Chipper Jones 2981 274 265.13 8.87 7.0979514 9.52 9.48
Scott Rolen 2935 274 267.64 6.36 5.0893992 6.94 6.9
Kevin Kouzmanoff 4179 368 361.2 6.8 5.441496 5.21 5.17
Alex Rodriguez 3377 297 291.79 5.21 4.1691462 4.94 4.9
Jose Bautista 2478 243 240.95 2.05 1.640451 2.65 2.61
Greg Dobbs 1000 92 91.52 0.48 0.3841056 1.54 1.5
Ryan Zimmerman 2786 275 273.75 1.25 1.000275 1.44 1.4
David Wright 4234 367 365.59 1.41 1.1283102 1.07 1.03
Willy Aybar 1048 108 107.77 0.23 0.1840506 0.7 0.66
Andy LaRoche 1573 152 151.71 0.29 0.2320638 0.59 0.55
Juan Uribe 1424 156 157.08 -1.08 -0.8642376 -2.43 -2.47
Aramis Ramirez 3664 290 294.47 -4.47 -3.5769834 -3.91 -3.95
Edwin Encarnacion 3673 288 295.33 -7.33 -5.8656126 -6.39 -6.43
Mike Lamb 1508 117 120.22 -3.22 -2.5767084 -6.83 -6.87
Jose Castillo 2560 214 220.73 -6.73 -5.3854806 -8.41 -8.45
Brian Buscher 1564 141 145.3 -4.3 -3.440946 -8.8 -8.84
Garrett Atkins 2528 221 228.04 -7.04 -5.6335488 -8.91 -8.95
Mark Reynolds 3759 304 315.66 -11.66 -9.3305652 -9.93 -9.97
Jorge Cantu 3264 271 281.48 -10.48 -8.3863056 -10.28 -10.32
Alex Gordon 3583 316 329.28 -13.28 -10.626922 -11.86 -11.9
Casey Blake 3318 288 301.47 -13.47 -10.778963 -12.99 -13.03
Ty Wigginton 2013 175 183.48 -8.48 -6.7858656 -13.48 -13.52
Pedro Feliz 2972 280 292.73 -12.73 -10.186801 -13.71 -13.75
Troy Glaus 3908 351 368.31 -17.31 -13.851808 -14.18 -14.22
Melvin Mora 3362 320 342.26 -22.26 -17.812897 -21.19 -21.23
Ramon Vazquez 1712 138 149.87 -11.87 -9.4986114 -22.19 -22.23
Rich Aurillia 1271 93 106.18 -13.18 -10.5469 -33.19 -33.23

Here's the first position where the Blue Jays come out near the top, and it's due to their backups as much as to Scott Rolen (including this year's fielding whiz, Marco Scutaro). This Evan Longoria kid could be the real thing.   Former uber-prospect Andy Marte hasn't done much offensively but performed quite well in limited time on defense. Melvin Mora may still be a force at the plate, but his fielding takes away much of his offensive value.  The Royals have to be wondering if they made the right decision to move Teahen off 3B and to keep Gordon there.  For you Red Sox fans wondering how Youkilis was at 3B, we don't have the numbers for him, but the non-Lowell 3B (Youk, Lowrie and 15 innings of Kevin Cash) were -2 runs.

For the World Champs, Pedro Feliz rated much, much lower than his reputation.  And he definitely wasn't contributing much on offense.  I wonder if he was this poor this season or the Phillies are doing something strange with positioning.  Rich Aurilia should not be allowed to play 3B any more - and he probably doesn't have the bat for 1B (where he played 82 games last year).  That's upsetting to me, as he was probably my favorite Giant off their WS team in 2002.  Supposed FA bargain Casey Blake rated quite poorly defensively, so he may not be the good buy that everyone seems to be suggesting.  David Wright has a Gold Glove that probably should have gone to Blake DeWitt.  If DeWitt didn't play enough for your liking, both Bill Hall and Chipper were better options than Wright.

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