2008 CF Defense By PMR

Team: PMR / RAA | 1B: PMR / RAA | 2B: PMRRAA | 3B: PMR / RAA | SS: PMR / RAA | LF: PMR / RAA | CF: PMR / RAA | RF: PMR / RAA

Each season, David Pinto releases his Probablistic Measure of Range (PMR) ratings based on play-by-play data from Baseball Info Solutions.  PMR measures how many plays above or below expected each team or player made based on batted ball characteristics like velocity and location. Here at Beyond the Box Score, we're translating the play numbers into runs (following a method developed by LA Black Hawk of Waterloo).  More information can be found in this post.

Today, we look at center fielders  - first on the team level and then for individuals.

 

Team In Play Actual Outs Predicted Outs Outs Delta Runs Delta Runs / 4000 RAA / 4000
Rays 4264 451 438.07 12.93 10.8879651 10.21 10.2
Mets 4335 435 422.51 12.49 10.5174543 9.7 9.69
Twins 4607 488 475.21 12.79 10.7700753 9.35 9.34
Athletics 4285 444 433.07 10.93 9.2038251 8.59 8.58
Phillies 4396 389 378.54 10.46 8.8080522 8.01 8
Reds 4299 413 404.02 8.98 7.5617886 7.04 7.03
Angels 4374 429 421.94 7.06 5.9450142 5.44 5.43
Astros 4292 427 420.91 6.09 5.1282063 4.78 4.77
Brewers 4354 406 400.2 5.8 4.884006 4.49 4.48
Mariners 4512 435 429.86 5.14 4.3282398 3.84 3.83
Rockies 4535 405 400.3 4.7 3.957729 3.49 3.48
Yankees 4349 407 402.92 4.08 3.4356456 3.16 3.15
Diamondbacks 4224 402 398.46 3.54 2.9809278 2.82 2.81
Dodgers 4265 377 374.62 2.38 2.0041266 1.88 1.87
Red Sox 4232 406 404.43 1.57 1.3220499 1.25 1.24
Marlins 4338 438 436.46 1.54 1.2967878 1.2 1.19
Braves 4383 360 361.2 -1.2 -1.010484 -0.92 -0.93
Pirates 4683 433 434.85 -1.85 -1.5578295 -1.33 -1.34
Indians 4513 412 414.22 -2.22 -1.8693954 -1.66 -1.67
Orioles 4540 440 442.64 -2.64 -2.2230648 -1.96 -1.97
Padres 4419 453 456.46 -3.46 -2.9135622 -2.64 -2.65
Rangers 4667 451 456.5 -5.5 -4.631385 -3.97 -3.98
Cubs 4156 391 396.42 -5.42 -4.5640194 -4.39 -4.4
Giants 4232 454 460.66 -6.66 -5.6081862 -5.3 -5.31
White Sox 4409 362 369.04 -7.04 -5.9281728 -5.38 -5.39
Blue Jays 4215 381 389.5 -8.5 -7.157595 -6.79 -6.8
Tigers 4536 450 460.98 -10.98 -9.2459286 -8.15 -8.16
Nationals 4417 426 439.8 -13.8 -11.620566 -10.52 -10.53
Royals 4413 417 436.29 -19.29 -16.24353 -14.72 -14.73
Cardinals 4597 388 409.47 -21.47 -18.079243 -15.73 -15.74

 

Team In Play Actual Outs Predicted Outs Outs Delta Runs Delta Runs / 4000

RAA /

4000

Rajai Davis 1483 153 142.55 10.45 8.7996315 23.73 23.72
Ichiro Suzuki 1887 195 186.2 8.8 7.410216 15.71 15.7
Carlos Gonzalez 1585 176 169 7 5.89449 14.88 14.87
B.J. Upton 3642 378 362.2 15.8 13.304706 14.61 14.6
Carlos Gomez 3988 437 422.56 14.44 12.1594908 12.2 12.19
Marlon Byrd 1372 149 145.28 3.72 3.1325004 9.13 9.12
Carlos Beltran 4171 418 407.47 10.53 8.8669971 8.5 8.49
Gregor Blanco 1495 128 124.87 3.13 2.6356791 7.05 7.04
Jacoby Ellsbury 1660 171 168.01 2.99 2.5177893 6.07 6.06
Wily Taveras 3124 282 276.52 5.48 4.6145436 5.91 5.9
Brian Anderson 1295 102 99.83 2.17 1.8272919 5.64 5.63
Torii Hunter 3587 350 344.29 5.71 4.8082197 5.36 5.35
Chris Young 4091 393 387.93 5.07 4.2692949 4.17 4.16
Andruw Jones 1481 133 131.63 1.37 1.1536359 3.12 3.11
Shane Victorino 3619 314 310.92 3.08 2.5935756 2.87 2.86
Michael Bourn 3051 291 289 2 1.68414 2.21 2.2
Melky Cabrera 2919 272 270.56 1.44 1.2125808 1.66 1.65
Corey Patterson 2388 242 241.55 0.45 0.3789315 0.63 0.62
Alfredo Amezaga 1451 146 145.75 0.25 0.2105175 0.58 0.57
Grady Sizemore 4199 382 382.73 -0.73 -0.6147111 -0.59 -0.6
Adam Jones 3487 337 337.64 -0.64 -0.5389248 -0.62 -0.63
Matt Kemp 2425 209 209.73 -0.73 -0.6147111 -1.01 -1.02
Coco Crisp 2534 234 235.17 -1.17 -0.9852219 -1.56 -1.57
Jeremy Reed 1439 132 132.92 -0.92 -0.7747044 -2.15 -2.16
Jim Edmonds 3420 242 244.43 -2.43 -2.0462301 -2.39 -2.4
Cody Ross 2561 254 255.96 -1.96 -1.6504572 -2.58 -2.59
Mike Cameron 3174 293 295.47 -2.47 -2.0799129 -2.62 -2.63
Aaron Rowand 3750 411 414.28 -3.28 -2.7619896 -2.95 -2.96
Alex Rios 1531 156 158.34 -2.34 -1.9704438 -5.15 -5.16
Jody Gerut 1816 189 191.84 -2.84 -2.3914788 -5.27 -5.28
Mark Kotsay 2145 173 176.54 -3.54 -2.9809278 -5.56 -5.57
Reed Johnson 1618 144 147.07 -3.07 -2.5851549 -6.39 -6.4
Nate McLouth 4228 380 388.88 -8.88 -7.4775816 -7.07 -7.08
Josh Hamilton 2977 268 274.44 -6.44 -5.4229308 -7.29 -7.3
Vernon Wells 2582 217 222.72 -5.72 -4.8166404 -7.46 -7.47
Scott Hairston 1152 114 116.69 -2.69 -2.2651683 -7.87 -7.88
Joey Gathright 2242 197 202.5 -5.5 -4.631385 -8.26 -8.27
Curtis Granderson 3740 366 379.16 -13.16 -11.081641 -11.85 -11.86
Nick Swisher 1650 138 144 -6 -5.05242 -12.25 -12.26
Skip Schumaker 1760 136 143.45 -7.45 -6.2734215 -14.26 -14.27
Lastings Milledge 3632 348 365.21 -17.21 -14.492025 -15.96 -15.97
Rick Ankiel 2433 213 224.6 -11.6 -9.768012 -16.06 -16.07
Ryan Sweeney 1053 95 102.85 -7.85 -6.6102495 -25.11 -25.12
David DeJesus 1524 151 163.83 -12.83 -10.803758 -28.36 -28.37

If the B.J. Upton from the playoffs shows up next year, the rest of the American League is in trouble.  Ichiro showed he could excel in CF, but then returned to RF anyway.  The A's lose about 4 wins over the course of a season simply from defense by trading away Carlos Gonzalez if they give the job to Ryan Sweeney.  Josh Hamilton ranked pretty poorly, which is counter to a lot of reports.   And Vernon Wells ranked lower than I would have expected too.  I'm still waiting for the Blue Jays to demonstrate where their extremely high team ranking came from, since they've been no better than middle of the pack on the three positions so far.  Unfortunately the Royals were still running David DeJesus out to CF more often than not at the end of the season.  He's much better suited to a corner position, but they don't really have a spot for him there because of the Jose Guillen signing.

In the National League, Carlos Beltran is the same as he ever was.  Rajai Davis was a surprise (oops, he's on the A's now) - the only saving grace of the Matt Morris trade in 2007 was I didn't think the Pirates gave up anything of value.  Guess I was wrong there.  Speaking of the Pirates, Nate McLouth is a joke for a Gold Glove, but he's nowhere near the -40 plays (roughly -33 runs) that Dewan lists him in his +/- ratings.  The Cardinals could really use some defensive help in CF.  Neither Schumaker or Ankiel are really center fielders.  Andruw Jones' performance was a nice surprise.  It's definitely not Andruw in his prime, but defense was about the only skill he would have ranked above average at last season.

In This Article

Topics
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Beyond the Box Score

You must be a member of Beyond the Box Score to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Beyond the Box Score. You should read them.

Join Beyond the Box Score

You must be a member of Beyond the Box Score to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Beyond the Box Score. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker