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Coast to Coast

If you've ever heard an announcer reference the ever horrific west coast road trip you'll know exactly what I'm talking about when I say the idea that east coast teams generally lose on the west coast has been instilled into your membrane. In theory it makes sense, after all the players are experiencing time zone changes, long travel time, and general proneness to losing focus. However, why is it that we never hear about the west coast teams traveling close to the Atlantic? After all they're the ones losing three hours - the east coast teams technically gain rest.

What about subsequent trips to either coast? Are teams more prone to winning earlier in the seasons or during the late season roadies? With those questions in mind I decided to do some schedule searching and tally the wins and losses on each road trip. I went against including runs scored and allowed totals because for the large part it was dependant on who the team was playing, for example playing at the Padres is quite a bit different than playing in Colorado.

As you see the western seaboard teams faired better than their counterparts on the road which defies a bit of logic. Consider that the combined team records were 1049-1057 (roughly .500) and 680-618 (roughly .520), that should suggest the two sides coming close to a split in winning percentage, but reality doesn't see things that way, holding the east coast teams to a .410 winning percentage and the west coasters to a .520 percentage.

One reasoning behind the split is that the weaker teams in the east played more west games. The Pirates and Reds - winners of a total of 16 west coast games and 140 regular season games) played the most out west, a combined 47 games. Meanwhile the Angels, Dodgers, Rockies, and Diamondbacks played the most games in the east; all of those teams won at least 82 games last year.

Another theory would be that it's purely luck - after all most ballparks out west are bigger than the ones in the east, or how about that most of the east coast games for the western teams come late in the season, after they've made subsequent trips to the border? Perhaps teams are more comfortable or just overall better? After all by the third swing across the country I imagine most teams have tweaked their rosters quite a bit since spring training.

The exact cause for the difference is unknown, but at least we know the theory that east coast teams aren't so hot out west is actually true, a bit surprising if you ask me, but even more so surprising is that west coast teams don't seem all that bothered by playing on the east coast.

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Confused a Little
I don't understand a couple of things...

The first, teams typically fair worse on the road, that could explain part of the discrepancy, considering the sample sizes differ.  I wonder what the case would be if you stretched this out over a decade or more?  This would also take into account the weaker teams.

The second, I don't see the east coast teams as gaining 3 hours of sleep, I see them having to perform at a time when their bodies would naturally be winding down.  Conversely, west coast teams simply have to arrive at the ballpark a little earlier.

Lastly, given that there are more east coast teams - as I alluded to in the first point - West coast teams may be more accustomed to coming to the east.  This could be similar to 'playoff experience' - that is, if it does make a difference.

The internet's latest attempt at understanding what is going on inside baseball - http://theoutsiderslook.blogspot.com

by Brandini on Dec 26, 2007 1:34 AM EST reply actions  

On the flight though
East coast teams would probably leave after their game, meaning around 11 PM, so if they're flying into a 3 hour difference and getting to LA in the middle of the night before hitting the hotel they're gaining sleep.

Not always the case obviously, but that was my point.

by RJ Anderson on Dec 26, 2007 5:50 PM EST up reply actions  

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