Runs Above Average With Zone Rating, Part Deux: The Outfielders

After yesterday's entry for the infielders, here are the outfielders, as promised. Incase you missed the infield portion...

I figured I'd throw the rankings for all defensive players with at least 300 innings in the field, finishing up with the outfield positions today. The stat used to measure defensive value is the same one I use in pNRAA. League average Zone Rating for each position is calculated, as well as chances and plays above average for each player. Using Chris Dial's run values for Zone Rating, we get a Runs Above Average, or ZRate as I've called it a few times in the past. As I said, that is the defensive number that replaced Prospectus' Rate2 for the defensive portion of the pNRAA calculations.

Left Field Defensive Rankings
Rank NAME INN ZR Chances Plays Above Average Runs Above Average
1 Carl Crawford 803.2 .913 209 11.44 9.51
2 Ryan Langerhans 501.2 .956 116 11.34 9.42
3 Dave Roberts 532.1 .935 145 11.13 9.25
4 Cliff Floyd 593.0 .914 131 7.30 6.07
5 Matt Murton 629.0 .895 178 6.54 5.43
6 So Taguchi 306.1 .925 81 5.41 4.49
7 Emil Brown 574.2 .894 147 5.25 4.36
8 Reed Johnson 344.0 .902 84 3.67 3.05
9 Marcus Thames 308.2 .917 60 3.52 2.93
10 Craig Monroe 505.1 .888 118 3.51 2.92
11 Nick Swisher 573.2 .879 165 3.42 2.84
12 Andre Ethier 480.1 .887 112 3.22 2.67
13 Scott Podsednik 735.0 .871 191 2.43 2.02
14 Raul Ibanez 864.2 .869 220 2.36 1.96
15 Barry Bonds 532.1 .870 125 1.47 1.22
16 Luis Gonzalez 804.2 .865 178 1.20 1.00
17 Pat Burrell 612.1 .863 160 0.76 0.63
18 Matt Holliday 824.2 .862 186 0.69 0.58
19 Garret Anderson 527.0 .863 141 0.67 0.55
20 Jason Michaels 624.1 .860 145 0.25 0.21
21 Carlos Lee 826.1 .845 169 -2.24 -1.86
22 Jason Bay 886.0 .847 234 -2.64 -2.19
23 Frank Catalanotto 533.0 .835 129 -3.00 -2.49
24 Alfonso Soriano 857.2 .841 231 -3.99 -3.32
25 Melky Cabrera 510.0 .814 136 -6.02 -5.00
26 Brad Wilkerson 641.1 .816 162 -6.85 -5.69
27 Josh Willingham 617.0 .771 149 -13.00 -10.81
28 Adam Dunn 825.2 .793 219 -14.29 -11.88
29 Manny Ramirez 780.1 .747 182 -20.25 -16.83
30 Preston Wilson 770.0 .735 188 -23.17 -19.26

Carl Crawford is well known for his defensive skills; thanks to this and his bat, he is worth +22.85 pNRAA; it's a good thing for the Rays that none of those early season trade rumors came to pass, as Crawford is a special player. I'm not sure how I feel about Emil Brown's high defensive ranking; he was awful in right field last season (-9 according to The Fielding Bible) and I haven't heard anything to dispel the notion that his play has improved, outside of this spreadsheet. Ryan Langerhans has actually been the best left fielder this season, as his Zone Rating dwarfs Carl Crawford's; the fact that he has 300 less innings played at the position has to do with his current second place ranking. Thanks to an anemic bat (.238 EqA), Langerhans is still worth only -13.42 pNRAA, and +4.45 pNRAR (yes, thats positionally-adjusted Net Runs Above Replacement player).

Center Field Defensive Rankings
Rank NAME INN ZR Chances Plays Above Average Runs Above Average
1 Corey Patterson 719.0 .921 262 12.72 10.71
2 Juan Pierre 863.2 .915 251 10.68 8.99
3 Torii Hunter 751.2 .909 245 8.95 7.54
4 Carlos Beltran 747.1 .903 262 8.00 6.74
5 Reggie Abercrombie 529.0 .920 167 7.94 6.68
6 Vernon Wells 786.0 .909 216 7.89 6.64
7 Eric Byrnes 647.1 .911 182 7.01 5.90
8 Brian Anderson 563.0 .903 216 6.59 5.55
9 Mike Cameron 739.0 .895 267 6.02 5.07
10 Chone Figgins 420.0 .914 143 5.94 5.00
11 Johnny Damon 677.2 .899 211 5.60 4.71
12 Grady Sizemore 853.2 .886 308 4.17 3.51
13 Curtis Granderson 839.0 .883 288 3.03 2.55
14 Jim Edmonds 634.0 .881 204 1.74 1.47
15 Steve Finley 661.1 .880 227 1.71 1.44
16 Willy Taveras 660.2 .878 224 1.24 1.04
17 Joey Gathright 632.0 .877 243 1.10 0.93
18 David DeJesus 298.0 .882 103 0.98 0.83
19 Brady Clark 638.0 .870 211 -0.52 -0.44
20 Rocco Baldelli 334.0 .863 119 -1.13 -0.95
21 Jeremy Reed 507.1 .863 149 -1.41 -1.19
22 Cory Sullivan 580.0 .864 182 -1.54 -1.30
23 Aaron Rowand 675.2 .865 221 -1.65 -1.39
24 Nate McLouth 329.0 .844 97 -2.76 -2.33
25 Marlon Byrd 393.1 .853 147 -2.86 -2.41
26 Mark Kotsay 763.1 .860 240 -2.99 -2.52
27 Coco Crisp 507.2 .846 154 -4.08 -3.43
28 Rob Mackowiak 329.0 .827 106 -4.82 -4.06
29 Andruw Jones 808.0 .853 281 -5.47 -4.61
30 Kenny Lofton 560.1 .838 172 -5.93 -4.99
31 Gary Matthews Jr. 722.2 .838 228 -7.86 -6.62
32 Jose Bautista 370.1 .808 127 -8.19 -6.89
33 Ken Griffey Jr. 555.1 .820 191 -10.02 -8.44

Yes, that is Corey Patterson and Juan Pierre ranked first and second for defense. The Cubs sure know how to pick their defensive centerfielders, although they should attempt to acquire one that can hit on occasion sometime. Carlos Beltran is having the best season of his career, but no one seems to be talking about it: .274/.379/.597, with some of the better defense out there and a pNRAA of +49.26.

Yes, that's Andruw Jones ranked 29 out of 33 players with 300 innings or more in center. David Gassko just put together an enjoyable piece in this week's Heater magazine on Andruw Jones career; his defense seems to have stalled to the point where he's basically average, due to his weight gain and loss of speed. He's still quite the slugger though, and is worth almost 20 runs above average per 150 games even with the defensive slip. One last note, Jones is still highly touted by John Dewan's +/- system from The Fielding Bible, with a +7 in 2005, although they admit that his range has slipped due to his gain in bulk. By the way, I'm also contributing to Heater weekly with a short feature entitled "Under the Microscope". Be sure to check out the digital magazine if you haven't already done so; there's a free copy available for download at the website!

Right Field Defensive Rankings
Rank NAME INN ZR Chances Plays Above Average Runs Above Average
1 Alex Rios 547.2 .922 134 6.36 5.36
2 Brian Giles 869.2 .901 216 5.72 4.82
3 Austin Kearns 798.2 .894 256 4.99 4.21
4 Juan Encarnacion 761.1 .899 190 4.65 3.92
5 Ichiro Suzuki 883.2 .895 226 4.63 3.90
6 Randy Winn 498.0 .903 155 4.42 3.72
7 Casey Blake 604.1 .897 168 3.78 3.18
8 Milton Bradley 318.0 .917 87 3.70 3.12
9 Reggie Sanders 495.2 .897 151 3.40 2.86
10 Jacque Jones 732.1 .891 183 3.02 2.54
11 Mark DeRosa 309.0 .906 86 2.71 2.28
12 J.D. Drew 668.2 .888 199 2.68 2.26
13 Jose Guillen 538.2 .889 183 2.65 2.23
14 Damon Hollins 378.2 .887 126 1.57 1.33
15 Brad Hawpe 775.0 .877 212 0.53 0.44
16 Jay Payton 350.0 .876 94 0.14 0.12
17 Jeremy Hermida 439.2 .875 111 0.05 0.05
18 Jeff Francoeur 875.1 .874 220 -0.11 -0.10
19 Nick Markakis 409.1 .872 118 -0.30 -0.25
20 Bobby Abreu 819.0 .873 197 -0.30 -0.25
21 Vladimir Guerrero 757.2 .873 220 -0.33 -0.28
22 Michael Cuddyer 677.2 .860 153 -2.22 -1.87
23 Trot Nixon 686.2 .862 187 -2.34 -1.97
24 Xavier Nady 593.2 .857 151 -2.64 -2.23
25 Moises Alou 306.1 .843 85 -2.68 -2.26
26 Geoff Jenkins 810.2 .859 214 -3.32 -2.80
27 Magglio Ordonez 793.0 .855 184 -3.59 -3.03
28 Jay Gibbons 349.2 .838 116 -4.24 -3.57
29 Jermaine Dye 747.0 .850 233 -5.71 -4.81
30 Shawn Green 747.1 .842 178 -5.79 -4.88
31 Kevin Mench 489.2 .817 137 -7.88 -6.64
32 Jeromy Burnitz 537.2 .815 134 -7.97 -6.72
33 Jason Lane 551.1 .809 147 -9.63 -8.12
34 Bernie Williams 378.1 .784 116 -10.50 -8.85

The Jays must really miss Alexis Rios, considering he was one of their offensive leaders, as well as the top defensive right fielder in the league. Even with Brian Giles power outage (.274/.384/.380 on the season), his pNRAA is still +14.65, and his problems are mostly Petco related (.264/.380/.347 at home).

Jeffrey Francoeur is not having the same defensive success he saw in 2005 this year by his league average ranking. Frenchy is currently -20.60 pNRAA, and -5.84 pNRAR. He's walked 7 times this month: twice unintentionally, twice intentionally, and thrice hit-by-pitch. His bat has heated up in July though, with a .312/.353/.537 line. Random note: Francoeur has struggled much more on the road than at home, .231/.259/.384 versus .302/.321/.538. He is now a .277/.306/.490 career hitter in 668 at-bats, with a walk in 2.8% of all plate appearances, and strikeouts in 19.7 of all PAs. His power is something else, as evidenced by any homerun he comes into contact with, but the walk rate needs to spike up to at least 5 or 6 percent, at minimum. That or he just needs to learn to wait on his pitch so he can crush everything. He's a special player, and by all accounts one hell of a guy, but it hasn't all come together in Atlanta yet. I think we forget he's still only 22 years old; with the right coach in place, he could blossom like Jose Reyes has this season for the Mets. Are Rickey Henderson's services available again?

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